Heat vs. Celtics NBA Playoffs Game 6 Odds, Lines, Picks & Predictions

Check out our Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics betting picks and odds for the NBA Eastern Conference Finals Game 6 that will take place in TD Garden in Boston, MA, on May 27, 2022.

Our Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics Betting Tips and Odds

Heat +9 (-110)

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Over 201 (-110)

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The Boston Celtics are one win away from advancing to their first NBA Finals since 2010 when they lost in seven games to the Los Angeles Lakers. The Celtics were the best team in the Eastern Conference in the NBA Playoffs and it will be fully deserved if they put themselves in a situation to play for their 18th NBA championship.

But it is not over until it’s over. The Celtics have a 3-2 lead over the top seed in the Eastern Conference, the Miami Heat, and will have a chance to close the series at home on Friday evening.

The Celtics found themselves in a  2-1 deficit before their last home game against the Heat but managed to win the last two games pretty easily and now they are in a situation to have their destiny in their own hands.

Both the Celtics and the Heat had a lot of problems with injuries and it seems like the Heat will pay a higher price for that. Miami’s best player Jimmy Butler suffered an injury in Game 3 and despite the fact that he has not missed a game, he is simply not the same player since then. Butler scored 40+ points in five games in the Playoffs this year but is coming off a 4-of-18 shooting performance in Game 5 which the Celtics won 93-80. The Sixth man of the Year Tyler Herro is out for the Heat and he is doubtful for Game 6 in Boston.

Follow all the action from the NBA Playoffs, all you need to know about the games including the Heat vs. Celtics series, you can find out with our expert daily picks.

Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics Game 6 Info

Matchup: Eastern Conference Finals Game 6 – No. 1 Heat vs. No. 2 Celtics

Tipoff time: Friday, May 27, 2022, 8.30 p.m. ET

TV: ESPN

Location: TD Garden, Boston, MA

How to watch: There are several options for how to watch Game 6 of the Heat vs. Celtics series

Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Prediction

Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics Game 6 Odds Analysis

According to the Heat vs. Celtics odds, Boston is a 9-point favorite to win Game 6 which is the largest given spread for any team in the Eastern Conference Playoffs. The Celtics won the last two games covering the spread and we will see if that is going to be the case when the Heat visit Boston on Friday with their back against the wall.

  • The Celtics are 36-16-2 ATS in their last 54 games against a team with a winning straight up record.
  • The Celtics are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games playing on 1 days rest
  • The Celtics are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600
  • The Heat are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games against a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600
  • The Heat are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games against a team with a winning straight up record
  • The Heat are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a double-digit loss at home

The Moneyline for the Heat vs. Celtics Game 4 is at +220 for Miami and -275 for Boston.

The over/under margin is set at 201 points which is the lowest margin in this series but still higher than the total of the previous game.

  • Under is 5-2 in Celtics last 7 home games against a team with a winning road record
  • Over is 12-5-1 in Celtics last 18 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points
  • Over is 7-2 in Celtics last 9 Conference Finals games
  • Under is 4-1 in Heat last 5 road games against a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600
  • Over is 6-2 in Heat last 8 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points
  • Under is 5-2 in Heat last 7 road games against a team with a winning home record

Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics Game 6 Predictions

Miami Heat +9

The Miami Heat had an amazing season managing to stay on top of the Eastern Conference despite the strong competition in the closest regular season in the last decade. The Heat were fearless in the opening two rounds of the Playoffs against the Atlanta Hawks and the Philadelphia 76ers and started well against the Celtics but now are facing elimination when they visit Boston on Friday evening. The Heat are not in their best shape as Jimmy Butler is not at his 100% and their best player off the bench Tyler Herro is sidelined with injury. Miami lost the last two games against Boston by double-digit margin but knowing how tough of a team they are, they will not go down without a fight. Boston is the favorite and will have the pressure to close out the series at home but the Heat will be able to keep the game close and cover the 9-point spread.

Besides the Heat vs. Celtics prediction, you can also check out our daily parlay picks.

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Over 201 points

This is the lowest over/under margin in this series but is still higher than the total from the last game. Both teams shoot poorly in Game 5 which will not be the case in this one. This margin will be easily covered as at least one of the teams will go over 100 points this time and the other will follow right back.

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Player Prop Pick

PJ Tucker under 7.5 points

PJ Tucker is a defensively oriented player and all he does on the offensive end is shooting trees from the corner. He is a decent shooter but he made only 1 of his 5 attempts in the previous games and finished Game 4 with 0 points. Tucker averaged 7.6 points during the regular season but has gone over 7 only ones in the previous 5 games of the series against Boston. He is shooting only 30% from the three-point line in the last 10 games and will not go over his season average in Game 6.

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