Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks NBA Playoffs Game 5 Predictions, Picks, Odds, Preview

After a thriller in Game 4 which Utah Jazz ended up winning by one point, the Jazz vs Mavericks series is tied at 2-2 and Game 5 is as huge as they get. Who will take the lead after this game and get within one win of winning the series?

Perhaps the most exciting series in these NBA playoffs is the Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks series, which is currently tied at 2-2 after the Jazz miraculously pulled off a win in Game 4 even though they trailed by four pints 30 seconds before the end. This win was much needed for the Jazz not just to tied the series, but to regain their confidence which seemed shattered before it.

Utah Jazz Stats:

Record (Regular Season + Playoffs): 51-35

ATS: 34-48-4

Over/Under: 39-45-2

Despite the loss in Game 4, Dallas Mavericks can be pleased by their showing in this game and they still have the home-court advantage in the series, i.e. they only need to win at home to progress to the Western Conference semis. Another positive for them right now is the fact that Luka Doncic came back from his injury and that he looked like he hasn’t missed a beat.

Dallas Mavericks Stats:

Record (Regular Season + Playoffs): 54-32

ATS: 49-36-1

Over/Under: 33-52-1

So, here are my picks and predictions for Monday’s NBA matchup between the Utah Jazz and Dallas Mavericks.

Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks Game 5 Info

Date/Time: Monday, April 25, 2022, 9:30 p.m. ET
TV: TNT (Stream the Game Online)
Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX

Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks Game 5 Odds Analysis

With the series moving back to Dallas and with Luka Doncic healthy again, the Mavericks have been made the favorites for Game 5, as expected. That being said, we also expected the spread to be a bit higher than 2.5 points, but the way in which the Jazz won Game 4 does give them a bit of psychological advantage ahead of the crucial Game 5 of the series.

Meanwhile, the line for total for Jazz vs Mavericks Game 5 when is pretty much where we expected it to be, at 212.5 total points. That’s a bit lower than the last game, but still above the line for the first three games of the series. So, consider this as you make your parlay bet for the NBA playoffs.

Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks Game 5 Picks

Now that we’ve covered some key aspects to consider for Game 5 of the Jazz vs Mavs series, it’s time to check our NBA betting picks for this game:

Dallas Mavericks to Cover the Spread (-2.5) @ -110 (Odds via Caesars)

Yes, the Jazz are certainly in a better mental state after Game 4. And yes, we expect them to ride on that wave of confidence at the start of Game 5. However, we can see the Mavericks winning Game 5 and taking the 3-2 lead in the series, for multiple reasons.

First of all, Luka Doncic is back and he showed in Game 4 just how great of a player he is. He didn’t seem at all bothered by the injury that kept him out of the first three games and that’s great news for the Mavs. Also, the Mavericks will host the game in Dallas, which is one of the hottest arenas to play in. All in all, the Jazz will need to do much better than they did in Game 4 to stay competitive in this game.

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Under 212.5 Total Points @ -110 (Odds via BetMGM)

Although we’ve seen two of the four games go over total points in this series, the other two that have gone under have gone under emphatically. And even before these series started, we expected low-scoring games between the Jazz and the Mavericks since both teams are capable of playing great defense.

After all, both teams were in top ten in the regular season in defensive rating and despite having some very offensively talented players, defense is how these two teams win their games in most cases. So, with the weight of Game 5 in the air, we can see this being another low-scoring duel between the Jazz and the Mavericks.

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Our Bonus Player Prop Pick: Donovan Mitchell Over 28.5 Total Points @ -108 (Odds via FanDuel)

Although we saw Mitchell score just 23 points in Game 4 and the Jazz getting the win despite it, we expect the shooting guard back to his standards when it comes to points in Game 5. After all, Mitchell scored over 30 points in the first three games of the series and he is the primary offensive weapon for the Jazz.

Of course, the Mavs know this as well and they will focus on Mitchell, but he is capable of getting his share of points even against th toughest of defenses. So, we suggest going with Mitchell over 28.5 points for Game 5.

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