Moving day at the U.S. Open Saturday ended up being more of a survival day than a scoring day for the majority of players. The Country Club at Brookline finally showed its true teeth with only seven players in the entire field recording under-par rounds.
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American Will Zalatoris and England’s Matthew Fitzpatrick sit atop the U.S. Open leaderboard at four-under par. Defending champion, Jon Rahm, remains a stroke back as he looks to become the sixth player ever to win back-to-back U.S. Open titles.
World-ranked No. 1 Scottie Scheffler and Keegan Bradley, whom are both major winners, sit in a T4, two strokes back of first place along with Adam Hadwin. Hadwin was the tournament’s first-round solo leader.
Four-time major champion, Rory McIlroy and Sam Burns, a three-time winner this season, sit at 1-under with Joel Dahmen.
Co-leaders entering round three, Collin Morikawa (+2) and Dahmen, (-1) slid down the leaderboard with Morikawa really struggling, posting a 77, his worst-ever round on the PGA Tour.
The tournament is wide open and anyone can win with 32 players being within seven strokes of the lead.
With so many betting options entering the final round, read our golf betting guide to see different strategies on how to potentially profit.
Top 5 Favorites on Sportsbooks to Win and Why They Might
Will Zalatoris T1 (-4) (+380)
Zalatoris enters the final round co-leading the field one place ahead of where he was entering the final round of the PGA Championship last month. Ironically the 25-year-old was three strokes back and in a T2 with none other than his current co-leader Matthew Fitzpatrick.
This is a revenge mission for Zalatoris after losing the PGA in a playoff and finishing second at the 2021 Masters one stroke shy of victor Hideki Matsuyama. It’s also a conquest for his first PGA Tour victory.Bet on US Open with BetMGM >
In round three when the majority of the field struggled, the 25-year-old fired home the best round of the day with a 3-under, 67.
Should Zalatoris win the U.S. Open, it’d be his first major win in only his ninth start at the majors. This would be a pretty impressive accomplishment after being Happy Gilmore’s caddy as a youngster.
Omg they actually dressed up Will Zalatoris as Happy Gilmore’s caddie😂
(via ryanthomasmurray / IG) pic.twitter.com/bNUsBIPlFk
— Zephyr Melton (@zephyrmelton) April 6, 2022
Matthew Fitzpatrick T1 (-4) (+380)
The Englishman has been arguably the most consistent of any golfer in the tournament thus far without posting a round over par (68, 70, 68).Bet on US Open with FanDuel Sportsbook
Statistically through three rounds, Fitzpatrick ranks in the top 13 for six different categories. He ranks first in strokes gained short game (+5.47) and third in strokes gained off the tee (+3.40).
The Sheffield native has won at Brookline before in 2013 when he captured the U.S. Amateur title.
Matthew Fitzpatrick won the 2013 U.S. Amateur Championship at The Country Club 🏆
He’s now tied for the lead at the 2022 U.S. Open at The Country Club 📈 pic.twitter.com/IsJx67JNg3
— GolfBet (@GolfBet) June 16, 2022
Jon Rahm (3) (-3) (+400)
Rahm might not be playing in the final group but is right where he wants to be entering Sunday. Last year in his U.S. Open win at Torrey Pines, the Arizona State product was in the fourth to last group prior to lifting the trophy.
The Spaniard birdied holes 14, 15 and 17 to take the solo lead as he walked to the 18th tee. Rahm proceeded to drive it into a fairway bunker. He then thinned his second shot out of the bunker and hit the front lip of the trap. The ball rolled back to his feet and he went on to make a double-bogey six resulting in him falling to a 71 for his final round putting him one stroke short of the leaders.
Rahm is currently second in strokes gained off the tee (+3.69) for the week and is putting well ranking third in strokes gained putting (+6.12) and 14th in total putts with an average of 1.59 putts per hole.Bet on US Open with FanDuel Sportsbook
Scottie Scheffler (T4) (-2) (+700)
Scheffler had a solo-lead Saturday at one point similar to his counterpart, world No. 2 Rahm.
The Dallas native made the crowd roar on the eighth hole when he holed out for eagle from the fairway on his third shot from 101 yards out after illustrating some backspin mastery.
If there’s someone to trust at +700, which are essentially his pretournament odds chopped in half, it’s the Texan.Bet on US Open with Caesars Sportsbook
Scheffler has the most wins this season of any player on tour with triumphs at the Waste Management Phoenix Open, WGC Dell-Technologies Match Play, Arnold Palmer Invitational and Masters.
The 25-year-old ranks first in strokes gained approach (+7.88) and third in fairways hit (71%).
Scheffler struggled chipping from the thick stuff around the greens multiple times Saturday but should find more control come Sunday.
Leader by 2!
Scottie Scheffler holes out for eagle. pic.twitter.com/xJfMl7fFE8
— PGA TOUR (@PGATOUR) June 18, 2022
Rory McIlroy (T7) (-1) (+1000)
After heading into the weekend a stroke back of the lead, many pundits believed McIlroy would perform well on Saturday and play in the final two groups on Sunday with a chance to end his eight-year major draught.
The Northern Irishman prevented himself from completely blowing up but did struggle on the front nine after penciling in a 3-over, 38.
McIlroy finished with a 73 for his third round. He sits 3-strokes back of the lead which isn’t a big mountain to climb for a player of his caliber.
The former world No. 1 presents value at 10-1 odds especially with his form this season and top-ranked strokes gained putting performance this week (+7.30).Bet on US Open with BetMGM >
Pretournament Picks and Odds
Good luck betting on the final round. If you want to read statistics from before the tournament and compare pre-tournament odds to live odds then check out our US Open golf picks and preview write up.