Texans vs Jaguars: Odds, Spread, Preview: NFL Week 5 Predictions

Texas vs Jaguars matchup preview and current betting lines

Let’s be honest for a second here. A Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars game won’t turn a lot of heads, at least at first glance. But we’re talking about divisional foes here, and these games are always hard fought and quite significant.

Also, it’s not like we’re talking about the old version of the Jaguars here. Doug Pederson has made a big impact on this team, and so have the questionable signings they’ve made. Trevor Lawrence has looked the part, and they’re slowly but steadily getting better.

The Houston Texans can’t say the same thing, though. Davis Mills has vastly regressed from his surprisingly good rookie season, and it’s clear that they’ll need to address their QB woes in the upcoming NFL Draft. Fortunately, they might as well have the first overall pick.

But even though the Texans have struggled to keep up with their rivals, this is a game they have marked on their calendars, as no one takes a divisional matchup lightly. With that in mind, let’s take a deep look at this potentially exciting clash.

Players to watch:

Dameon Pierce: Dameon Pierce finally gave us a glimpse of what he’s capable of, breaking out for a beautiful 75-yard touchdown run last season. His workload is increasing, and he could be in for another big matchup in this divisional game.

Trevor Lawrence: Last week’s performance was quite humbling for the former first-overall pick. The Philadelphia Eagles got to him over and over, and he let the pocket collapse on him, fumbling and losing the ball multiple times. We expect him to bounce back and make a statement here.

Week 5 Predictions: NFL Bet of the week on Texas vs Jaguars

Texans +7

The opening Texas vs Jaguars spread have the home side favored by a touchdown, which would make sense to the naked eye. However, and as much as we expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to win this game, these are just way too many points.

As we mentioned before, this is a divisional game. These teams study each other in the offseason and know each other as they face twice each campaign. These games mean more and could have direct implications in the postseason.

The Texans were quite close to upsetting the Indianapolis Colts in the season opener but had to settle for a tie. They dropped the next three games, but two of those losses were by a single possession, and the other vs. a Super Bowl contender like the Los Angeles Chargers.

So, it could take a while before the Texans find their first win of the season, but this should be a battle and not a blowout. Let’s not ignore the fact that they did put up 30 points and win by two scores in their last meeting.

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Over 44

The opening Texas vs Jaguars odds have this game total at 44 projected points, which could be right on point. While neither of these teams features an explosive offense, they’re both more than capable of moving the chains and marching up and down the field.

The Jacksonville Jaguars put up 14 quick points vs. the undefeated Philadelphia Eagles before the hostile weather took a toll on their offensive flow. But Trevor Lawrence can throw the football like the best of them and they have some big playmakers.

The Jaguars’ one-two punch of James Robinson and Travis Etienne should have no trouble pounding through the Texans’ weak front seven, and the same can be said of Rex Burkhead and Dameon Pierce for the Texans.

All things considered the over in this game seems quite feasible, especially with the Texans being overaggressive as they fetch their first win of the season against a divisional rival they can’t afford to lose to right now.

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FAQs about Texans vs Jaguars

Yes, they’re both in the AFC South.

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The Texans won 30-16 on December 19th, 2021.

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