Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks NBA Playoffs Game 6 Predictions, Picks, Odds, Preview

The Suns came up with an emphatic performance in Game 5 in Phoenix and beat the Mavericks by 30 points. Can the Mavs dust this loss off and get back in the series or will the Suns close the series in Game 6 in Dallas?

The series in both Conference semi-finals in the 2022 NBA playoffs have been very exciting so far, especially the Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks series.

After they entered Game 5 tied with the Suns, the Mavericks also started the game well, taking an early lead and being neck and neck with Phoenix at the half time. But things fell apart for the Mavericks in third quarter and the Suns crushed them in the second half, winning the game by 30 points. Now the Mavericks have to fight for their life in Game 6 in Dallas.

Dallas Mavericks Stats:

Record (Regular Season + Playoffs): 58-35

ATS: 53-39-1

Over/Under: 35-57-1

After the Mavericks tied the series at 2-2, many people wondered if the Suns have what it takes to win Game 5 and take control of the series again. Their answer was a commanding, 30-point win in Game 5, which brings them one step closer to making the Western Conference Finals for the second straight season.

Phoenix Suns Stats:

Record (Regular Season + Playoffs): 71-22

ATS: 51-42-0

Over/Under: 46-46-1

Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks Game 6 Info

Date/Time: Thursday, May 12, 2022, 9:30 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN (How to Watch the Game Online)
Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX

Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks Game 6 Odds Analysis

The situation ahead of Game 6 is the same as it was ahead of the previous two games that were played in Dallas – the Suns are slight favorites at -130 money line odds and a 1.5-point spread. That’s a bit surprising to us since we expected the spread to be a bit higher after the emphatic 30-point win for the Suns in Game 5.

Meanwhile, the line for total points dropped by a couple of points after Game 5 ended with just 190 points being scored and is now set at 212.5 total points. That is pretty much what we expected to happen, especially since both teams are known for good defense.

Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks Game 6 Picks

Now is the time for us to present our top betting tips for the Suns vs Mavericks Game 6, but if you want to know more about other series and NBA games, check our daily NBA betting picks and NBA playoffs parlay tips.

So, here are our picks and predictions for Thursday’s NBA matchup between Phoenix Suns and Dallas Mavericks:

Phoenix Suns on Money Line @ -130 (Odds via FanDuel)

The Mavericks showed that they have a bright future with Luka Doncic at the helm so far in these playoffs, but they do need a bit more to be able to compete for the title. That being said, the fact that they are still in the series against the top seed in the entire league is impressive.

But with all due respect to the Mavericks, we can see the Suns winning Game 6 in Dallas to close out the series and secure a spot in the Western Conference Finals. While it’s not fair to judge the Mavs on Game 5, the fact that they lost the crucial game in the series by 30 points demonstrates the difference in quality between these two teams. So, go with Phoenix in Game 6.

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Under 212.5 Total Points @ -110 (Odds via BetMGM)

After the first two games of the series in Phoenix have gone over, we expected the same to happen in Game 5. But we were wrong and not by a few points since the game ended with 190 points being scored. Yes, we expected the Mavs to score more, but even if they did, the game would’ve still gone under the line of 214.5 total points.

Now the line is even lower, set at 212.5 total points, but we can see the game going under anyway. After all, both games that were played in Dallas in the series have gone under and we don’t see any reason why Game 6 can’t follow in the same trend.

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Our Bonus Player Prop Pick: Dorian Finney-Smith Over 11.5 Total Points @ -125 (Odds via Caesars)

One of the key players for the Mavericks in this series has been Dorian Finney-Smith, especially in Game 4 in which he was extremely efficient beyond the arc, ending the game with eight threes and 24 points. Finney-Smith started Game 5 with a couple of made threes as well, but he, like the entire Dallas team, fell apart in the second half and ended the game with just 8 points.

That being said, the line on Finney-Smith is set at 11.5 total points and we like that very much. After all, the sharpshooting 3&D specialist scored 12 or more points in three of the five games in the series. So, with Game 6 scheduled to be played in Dallas, we can see Finney-Smith having another good performance.

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