Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks NBA Playoffs Game 4 Prediction & Betting Tips

Ladies and gentlemen, we have a series! After two dominating performances by the Suns at home, the Mavericks took Game 3 in Dallas get back into the series. Will the Mavs manage to tie the series or can the Suns secure a 3-1 lead with a win in Game 4?

We are seeing some interesting series in the Conference semi-finals in these NBA playoffs, including the Suns vs Mavericks series that just got a lot more interesting after Dallas won Game 3. The Mavericks did what they had to do – they played great defense and other players like Brunson stepped up to help Doncic. Now it remains to be seen whether they can do it again.

Dallas Mavericks Stats:

Record (Regular Season + Playoffs): 57-34

ATS: 52-38-1

Over/Under: 35-55-1

Meanwhile, the Suns didn’t look like the team that won the first two games in a convincing fashion. That’s somewhat understandable since the first two games were played in Phoenix, but it’s still a pretty huge drop compared to the level of play they showed so far. Will they be able to get back on track in Game 4?

Phoenix Suns Stats:

Record (Regular Season + Playoffs): 70-21

ATS: 50-41-0

Over/Under: 46-44-1

So, here are my picks and predictions for Sunday’s NBA matchup between the Phoenix Suns and Dallas Mavericks.

Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks Game 4 Info

Date/Time: Sunday, May 8, 2022, 3:30 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN (Stream the Game Online)
Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX

Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks Game 4 Odds Analysis

The situation for Game 4 is the same as it was for Game 3 of the series – the two teams are nearly equal when it comes to odds. However, the Suns are a slight favorites now with odds on them winning on money line being -125, unlike Game 3 in which the odds on both teams were -110.

Meanwhile, the line for total points has come back down after it rose up due to the first two games going over. So, after Game 3 in which the line was set at 219.5 total points, the new line is now at 214.5 points for Game 4, which isn’t a surprise since Game 3 has gone under by 20 points.

Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks Game 4 Picks

If you are interesting in our predictions for this game, you may also be interested to check our daily NBA betting tips and our NBA playoffs parlay tips.

In any case, here are our top betting tips for Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks Game 4:

Phoenix Suns to Win on Money Line @ -125 (Odds via BetRivers)

The Mavericks looked like a completely different team in Game 3 compared to the first two games in Phoenix. In fact, they looked like the team that was one of the best defensive teams in the entire league in the last couple of months, as if they suddenly remembered that they can play great defense.

Of course, one of the reasons for this is the fact that they were the host in Game 3. Now, ahead of Game 4, we are not sure what to expect. We feel like the Mavericks showed us what they can do, but we aren’t’ sure that they can do it consistently against a great team like the Suns. Also, the Suns did have a couple of bad games in the first round against the Pelicans as well, but they bounced back quickly. So, we can see that happening in Game 4 of the Suns vs Mavs series and Phoenix getting a break here.

PLAYMAX

Under 214.5 Total Points @ -110 (Odds via Caesars)

We went against our guts and the overall stats that said that these two teams should be playing low-scoring games when we suggested over in Game 3. However, we were influenced by the first two games and the fact that they did went over, by a lot. But now we are going back to our original stance, despite the line for total points dropping to 214.5 points.

After all, both of these teams are capable of playing great defense and with the Mavericks figuring things out finally in Game 3, we can expect Game 4 to go under as well.

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Our Bonus Player Prop Pick: Jalen Brunson Over 19.5 Total Points @ -110 (Odds via DraftKings)

The first two games were a struggle for Jalen Brunson, who exploded in the first round series against the Jazz to help the Mavs overcome Luka Doncic’s injury. But the situation has been different for him against Phoenix and he was held at 9 and 13 points in the first two games of the series.

Finally, Brunson joined the party in Game 3 in which he scored 28 points and was the top scorer for the Mavericks, ahead of Luka Doncic. Hopefully for the Mavs, Brunson figured out what to do against the Suns and he can repeat it in Game 4, and we hope so too since we expect him to score 20 or more points.

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