Panthers vs. Ravens Odds, Spread, Preview: NFL Week 11 Predictions

Panthers vs. Ravens Week 11 matchup preview and current betting lines

The Baltimore Ravens (6-3) are rested off a bye week but still have some lingering health issues to some of their key players. But this is the start of a second half that is the easiest schedule in the league. The NFL Week 11 odds have the Ravens as a 13-point home favorite over the Carolina Panthers (3-7), who also had a few extra days to prepare after winning last Thursday against Atlanta. The total for the game is 41.5 points.

The Panthers are back to starting Baker Mayfield at quarterback after P.J Walker suffered a high ankle sprain. A lot has changed in Carolina since Mayfield last started in Week 5. Head coach Matt Rhule was fired, Christian McCaffrey was traded, and the team is trying to turn D’Onta Foreman into Derrick Henry or Nick Chubb. The Panthers have rushed for at least 169 yards in three of the last four games after not coming close to that once earlier in the year with Rhule, McCaffrey, and Mayfield together.

The Ravens are hopeful that tight end Mark Andrews will be back for this game after he returned to practice in a limited role on Wednesday. Isaiah Likely has looked like a good rookie replacement for Andrews. The team is less solid at wide receiver, and the running backs have been banged up, but Lamar Jackson is still a dual-threat weapon and proven winner.

But can the Ravens cover a big spread like this? They have been known to blow double-digit leads this year.

Players to watch in the Panthers vs. Ravens game

Carolina Panthers

Terrace Marshall Jr.: He was a second-round pick in 2021, so it would be nice if he could develop as a No. 2 wide receiver behind D.J. Moore. Marshall had 87 yards in Atlanta, then caught a touchdown from Mayfield against the Bengals, and he had the longest catch of his career (43 yards) on a rain-soaked night against Atlanta in Week 10. He could be productive in this game and a sneaky over bet in prop picks for his yards.

Baltimore Ravens

Kenyan Drake: The Ravens are still gifted at running back even if Gus Edwards and J.K. Dobbins are injured. Drake looks like the real deal with 93 yards and two touchdowns in New Orleans in the most playing time he’s received all season. The Baltimore backs are hard to play in fantasy and prop bets, because you never know who will get the bulk of touches, but Drake looks good for them.

Our Best NFL Bets for the Panthers vs. Ravens game

We have two NFL Week 11 predictions for this non-conference matchup that is the biggest spread of the week.

Panthers vs. Ravens Point Spread Pick: Panthers +13 (-112)

The Panthers vs. Ravens spread opened with the Ravens as a 13-point favorite and has held strong there.

The Ravens are the only team to lead by double digits in every game this season, but obviously they have blown three of those leads to the Dolphins, Bills, and Giants. The Panthers are unlikely to do that, but they can keep it close.

Even when Mayfield, who ranks dead last in QBR, was starting games, he only lost one game out of five by more than 13 points. That was the San Francisco game where he was injured and threw an awful pick-six. The 49ers won 37-15.

In recent weeks, Carolina is playing better football and even upset the Buccaneers 21-3 in a stunner. It’s not like P.J. Walker was lighting it up. He threw for over 300 yards against Atlanta, 177 yards against Tampa, and for 177 yards in three of his other starts combined.

The Panthers haven’t been consistent on defense, but the Ravens also have not scored more than 27 points since Week 3. If the Panthers can hold them to that total or less, then a cover should not be that difficult. Of course, the spread and total suggest another 27-13 final like the Ravens won in New Orleans.

But don’t discount the fact that Baker Mayfield has passed for over 340 yards four times against Baltimore in his career. He’s only done that once against all other teams. He won’t do that in this limited offense that wants to get the run game going, but he may recognize this as his last opportunity to show he is a starter in this league. Combine that with the way the Ravens allow fourth-quarter points and it adds up to a Carolina cover as your NFL bet of the week.

Be sure to check out our NFL picks page for more betting tips.

Panthers Prop: D’Onta Foreman Over 50.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

Let’s hope Foreman’s second start against the AFC North this year goes better than the first. Against Cincinnati in Week 9, Foreman ran the ball seven times for 23 yards, a total dud of a game thanks to the Bengals opening up a 35-0 lead in a hurry. The Panthers had to abandon the run.

In three of the last four games, Foreman has rushed for at least 118 yards, looking like one of the league’s best workhorse backs a la Derrick Henry (his former teammate) or Nick Chubb. Foreman is not on that level, but he averages a respectable 4.3 yards per carry for his career.

It would be a huge disappointment and likely a blowout loss if Foreman was not able to get over 50.5 rushing yards in this one. The Panthers did not run the ball that well with Baker Mayfield at quarterback, but that seemed to have more to do with Matt Rhule’s coaching and McCaffrey’s all-around skills as a receiver than anything else. Replacing Walker with Mayfield shouldn’t automatically disqualify Foreman from producing on the ground.

The Ravens are a good rushing defense and have held their last two opponents under 50 yards. But one of those two opponents was Tampa Bay, a bottom-ranked run offense that did not do anything on the ground until magically rushing for big yardage in Germany against Seattle.

This league can be so random at times. If the Foreman number was 80.5, then I would say go under for sure. But at 50.5, he can get there in a variety of ways no matter how well or poorly the Panthers play in this game. It won’t be a repeat of Cincinnati either because the Ravens are not going to be up 35-0.