NFL Win Totals Odds: Best Win Totals Futures Bets for NFL 2022-23

NFL Win Totals Team by Team Breakdown for the 2022-23 NFL Season

Here is a look at the challenges faced by all 32 NFL teams early into the 2022-23 season. All NFL projected win totals are from FanDuel prior to Week 1.

Arizona Cardinals (O/U 8.5 wins)

The Cardinals became just the fourth team in NFL history to win a game after trailing by 16 points in the fourth quarter and tying it with a pair of touchdowns and two-point conversions before winning in overtime. The winning score, a fumble return in overtime, was just the sixth of its kind as well. If this is what it takes for Arizona to win a game this year, then ouch.

Atlanta Falcons (O/U 4.5 wins)

Maybe the Falcons are going to be more competitive than expected this season. Through Week 3, Atlanta and Cleveland are the only teams to score at least 26 points in all three games. They meet in Week 4 with the chance for the Falcons to start a winning streak.

Baltimore Ravens (O/U 10.5 wins)

The Ravens spoiled Lamar Jackson’s special day by becoming the 10th team in NFL history to blow a 21-point lead in the fourth quarter. It was also the fifth time the defense has allowed a 400-yard passer since 2021 started. The rest of the NFL has done that 13 times combined. Baltimore needs to find its defensive swagger again instead of blown coverages.

Buffalo Bills (O/U 11.5 wins)

Are close games the kryptonite to stopping the Bills? They have lost their last 12 games when trailing in the fourth quarter, and most of those were one-score deficits they were unable to erase. It happened again in Miami after the team made plenty of other mistakes in the first loss of the season. You cannot win a Super Bowl without winning a close game at some point.

Carolina Panthers (O/U 6.5 wins)

Baker Mayfield is an improvement over Sam Darnold, but the Panthers have to figure out how to win games differently under Matt Rhule. In two seasons, Rhule’s Panthers are 1-23 when allowing more than 17 points and 0-13 when trailing by one score in the fourth quarter.

Chicago Bears (O/U 5.5 wins)

Do the Bears realize they can throw the ball? Chicago’s 28 pass attempts are the fewest through two games since the 1978 Packers had 24. That display in Green Bay showed a coaching staff that has no confidence in Justin Fields, a bad sign for how this season could go.

Cincinnati Bengals (O/U 9.5 wins)

Can you say Super Bowl hangover? Joe Burrow became the first QB since 1998 to throw four picks, a pick-six, and take seven sacks in a game. Crazy enough, he still would have won if the Bengals could get their kicking operation down. Could a bizarre season await this team? The early returns on the new offensive line were not good, but Pittsburgh is a tough opponent to start with.

Cleveland Browns (O/U 8.5 wins)

After giving Deshaun Watson arguably the most shameless contract in NFL history, the Browns have to start Jacoby Brissett for at least 11 games against a tough schedule. We may not figure out their true price of shame until 2023.

Dallas Cowboys (O/U 9.5 wins)

If the Tyron Smith injury wasn’t bad enough, quarterback Dak Prescott suffered a major injury for the second time in three years. He’ll be out 6-to-8 weeks after thumb surgery. The Cowboys turn to Cooper Rush, but this offense has a ton of problems right now. Micah Parsons is going to have to be spectacular on defense to hold the fort until Prescott and some reinforcements at wideout (Michael Gallup, James Washington) can return.

Denver Broncos (O/U 9.5 wins)

The Broncos are No. 31 in scoring offense and No. 2 in scoring defense. They could have saved the money and let Teddy Bridgewater or Drew Lock handle this if Russell Wilson is going to do this for Nathaniel Hackett. The team has been booed in all three games, so 2-1 feels like a blessing. Of course, the Broncos were 3-0 last year and we know that was the peak. There is still room for a ton of improvement here.

Detroit Lions (O/U 6.5 wins)

How good is Amon-Ra St. Brown? He has caught at least eight balls in eight straight games, tying Antonio Brown and Michael Thomas for the NFL record. He also scored two touchdowns on Sunday and seems to be heating up with Jared Goff. This team could be fun this year.

Green Bay Packers (O/U 10.5 wins)

For the first time in his career, Aaron Rodgers won a game where the Packers were shut out in the second half and put up fewer than 21 points in the first half. It was a strange win, but Rodgers will take it. The defense is playing well but we will need to see more from the offense.

Houston Texans (O/U 4.5 wins)

You could argue Davis Mills outplayed all the rookie quarterbacks except Mac Jones last season. He is an interesting player, but the promotion of Lovie Smith to head coach after the defense stunk is one of the most unimaginative hires in a long time.

Indianapolis Colts (O/U 9.5 wins)

The Colts have lost in Jacksonville every year since 2015. But 24-0? That was the worst a Frank Reich team has ever looked. The Colts rallied from 0-3 last year to a winning record, but this Matt Ryan experiment is not off to a good start at all.

Jacksonville Jaguars (O/U 6.5 wins)

Did the Jaguars really just win by four touchdowns against Justin Herbert and the Chargers? Trevor Lawrence is lighting it up in an offense where Christian Kirk and Zay Jones are his leading receivers. This team can be an incredible story this season but first up is a stiff test in Philadelphia.

Kansas City Chiefs (O/U 10.5 wins)

Last year’s challenge was to figure out the two-deep safety looks. This year it might be the three-man rush after it befuddled Patrick Mahomes in the second half of the AFC Championship Game. Without Tyreek Hill there, why wouldn’t defenses double Travis Kelce and force these new receivers to beat them? The Chiefs also have their most division competition in a long time. This will be fun.

Las Vegas Raiders (O/U 8.5 wins)

Would be an easy choice to decline after going 4-0 in overtime games and being outscored by 65 points last season. But the Raiders made a good hire with Josh McDaniels and big additions with Davante Adams and Chandler Jones. This could be the best shot the team has in the division.

Los Angeles Chargers (O/U 10 wins)

Justin Herbert is the best quarterback in the NFL who has yet to make the playoffs. That needs to change this year as Brandon Staley gets a redo with his defense after adding J.C. Jackson and Khalil Mack. The division race is going to be incredible, but the Chargers have to get in the tournament somehow with all this talent.

Los Angeles Rams (O/U 10.5 wins)

The Rams will attempt to become the first team since the 2003-04 Patriots to repeat as champions. Last year was a difficult journey, and it is unlikely the team will go 9-1 in close games again or get to host the two championship games in their building. But as long as you have Sean McVay, Matthew Stafford, Cooper Kupp, and Aaron Donald, you have a chance.

Miami Dolphins (O/U 8.5 wins)

Last year, the Dolphins gave Tua Tagovailoa his college receiver Jaylen Waddle. This year, they got him Tyreek Hill and head coach Mike McDaniel, Kyle Shanahan’s closest assistant. If this isn’t the year for Tua, then it likely never will work out in the NFL for him.

Minnesota Vikings (O/U 9.5 wins)

After all the hype for Justin Jefferson’s career day (184 yards and two touchdowns) against Green Bay in Week 1, the Vikings were reminded that Kirk Cousins tends to implode in big spots with a lot of people watching and waiting for the Vikings to reach that next level. Instead, the Eagles looked like that team and the Vikings fell 24-7 on Monday night. Cousins will probably rebound against Detroit, but games like Monday are why most people do not trust this team.

New England Patriots (O/U 8.5 wins)

Now 70 years old, Bill Belichick has to realize his team is looking rather ordinary in an AFC that is very deep and an AFC East that finally has contenders. The Patriots are no longer a lock for the playoffs and replacing Josh McDaniels with rejects Matt Patricia and Joe Judge is not inspiring.

New Orleans Saints (O/U 8.5 wins)

Time will tell if the Saints just had a division scare in Week 1, or if this team is in for a rough season. Jameis Winston’s third-down spike on the go-ahead drive was the kind of mistake you’d never see from Drew Brees and Sean Payton. A big game with Tom Brady looms in Week 2.

New York Giants (O/U 7.5 wins)

New coach Brian Daboll might be the best hire of 2022, but unless he’s a genius, he is unlikely to get a full 2020 Josh Allen glow-up out of quarterback Daniel Jones this season. Still, the potential for improvement and a weak schedule gives the Giants some hope.

New York Jets (O/U 5.5 wins)

Believe it or not, but this could be the first time the Jets fail to make the playoffs in 12 consecutive seasons. Things have been rough, last year was not encouraging, and we need to see some improvement out of Zach Wilson right away.

Philadelphia Eagles (O/U 9.5 wins)

The Eagles snuck into the playoffs ahead of schedule last year with Nick Sirianni, but they were 0-7 against other playoff teams. The addition of A.J. Brown, a favorable schedule, and expected decline from Dallas should make Philadelphia the favorite to win the NFC East in 2022. But are they really that much better? We’ll see in January.

Pittsburgh Steelers (O/U 7.5 wins)

The Steelers won eight games without Ben Roethlisberger in 2019 with a worse quarterback than the two options they have now, but this is going to be Mike Tomlin’s most challenging season. The division has improved to the point where the Steelers could finish behind Cleveland in a season for the first time since 1989.

San Francisco 49ers (O/U 9.5 wins)

Now with three low-scoring starts under Trey Lance’s belt and a significant MCL injury for running back Elijah Mitchell, is this San Francisco offense one we can trust? George Kittle needs to get back ASAP, but even then, this team has a feeling of disappointment around it already.

Seattle Seahawks (O/U 5.5 wins)

Who imagined Seattle would be the only NFC West team to win in Week 1? With Geno Smith playing so well and the rest of the division off to such a rough start, we may seriously have underestimated this team. Or was beating Russell Wilson the Super Bowl and it’s all downhill from here?

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (O/U 11.5 wins)

Tom Brady’s retirement lasted 40 days. Maybe he saw the clear path open in the NFC as Tampa Bay has the best odds to win the Super Bowl and the highest NFL projected win totals in the conference. The team is still well stocked with Todd Bowles taking over for retired coach Bruce Arians. For all we know, Brady will call Rob Gronkowski out of retirement if he needs his help come playoff time.

Tennessee Titans (O/U 9.5 wins)

After going 8-3 against teams with a winning record last year, the Titans fell flat on their faces in the first playoff game at home. Much of that was on Ryan Tannehill, who needs to prove he can get it done in the playoffs. But there is a chance 2021 was this team’s last shot with him.

Washington Commanders (O/U 8.5 wins)

How badly did the Eagles want to make Carson Wentz look back on Sunday? Wentz took a career-high nine sacks, including three in the game’s first five minutes. Washington’s defense is also starting a season in poor fashion for the second year in a row under coordinator Jack Del Rio. Ron Rivera is not going to get to 2023 with this team at this rate.

Our Experts Best Win Totals Predictions for the 2022-23 NFL Season

Here are our best NFL picks for win totals odds this season. Note that these lines were set prior to Week 1.

Indianapolis Colts: Over 9.5 wins (-160 at FanDuel)

Last season, the Colts finished 9-8 despite:

  • Starting Carson Wentz at quarterback
  • Blowing four fourth-quarter leads (tied for most in NFL)
  • Blowing three double-digit leads (most in NFL)
  • Getting an MVP-caliber season out of rushing leader Jonathan Taylor
  • Forcing 33 takeaways (second in NFL)
  • Having the No. 2 average starting field position
  • Losing by 15 points in Jacksonville as a 15-point favorite with the playoffs on the line

The Colts were 1-8 when they allowed more than 18 points last season. Having to be absolutely dominant on that side of the ball and hide your quarterback in big games is no way to succeed in this league.

Even if Taylor is less dominant and the defense does not recover so many fumbles, Matt Ryan is not going to blow this opportunity. Like Philip Rivers in 2020, Ryan will enjoy head coach Frank Reich taking advantage of his strengths and putting him in a position to succeed after he had his worst season with Atlanta. This is also going to be the best offensive line he’s had in years, led by All-Pro guard Quenton Nelson. This should be the best defense he’s had in years, led by All-Pro linebacker Shaquille Leonard.

Ryan is past his prime, but he still has enough to win at least 10 games with this team and its favorable schedule. The Colts get four games against the Jaguars and Texans, and they should get back to beating the Titans. They also play arguably the weakest NFC conference (East).

Ryan is not going to Indy and instantly winning a Super Bowl like Tom Brady (Buccaneers) and Matthew Stafford (Rams) the last two years, but he is going to win the division and hit the over.

Seattle Seahawks: Under 5.5 wins (+115 at FanDuel)

I had to check these NFL win total odds twice, because it seemed too good to be true. While head coach Pete Carroll has had a good run, it is hard to imagine this rebuild year won’t be the worst of his coaching career.

The only time Carroll won fewer than seven games was his 6-10 season as a rookie head coach with the Jets way back in 1994. But after the Seahawks finished 7-10 last year with Russell Wilson starting 14 games, how do they expect to only decline one game with a quarterback room of Geno Smith and Drew Lock?

Smith won the competition in the preseason, but nothing about his career inspires that he’ll be good this season even if he gets to play with DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett. Metcalf was a big disappointment last season, failing to break 1,000 yards. Lockett will miss the precision of Wilson’s passes, especially deep. The defense is also without linebacker Bobby Wagner (Rams) and basically everyone that made it a good unit years ago.

But the big reason to fade Seattle is the 2022 schedule. The Seahawks have to play 10 games against the loaded NFC West and AFC West. While they probably won’t go 0-10 in those games, it should surprise no one if they did. Road trips to New Orleans and Tampa Bay won’t be kind either.

That means the Seahawks would have to clean house in the most winnable games: Falcons, Lions, Giants, Panthers, and Jets. That gets you to five wins, but you know this team will slip up somewhere there.

It was a good run while it lasted, but this should be the year where Seattle finishes no better than 5-12, and the team can do something about the quarterback in April’s draft.

NFL win totals predictions and picks

Miami Dolphins: Over 8.5 wins (-135 at FanDuel)

The Dolphins have had a winning record the last two seasons and still missed the playoffs both times. That hasn’t happened in the NFL since the Dolphins did it in 2002-03. It is time for that to change as Mike McDaniel takes over as the new head coach from San Francisco. He has followed Kyle Shanahan around since 2006 and should be able to implement a YAC-based passing game and zone run system that will help this team take off on offense even if Tua Tagovailoa is not a superstar quarterback in his third season.

This system has a long history of inflating quarterback stats for passers not deemed to be uniquely talented, including Matt Schaub, Kirk Cousins, and Jimmy Garoppolo. In San Francisco, Garoppolo had the highest yards per pass attempt (8.4) of any quarterback born after WWII. Yet, no one traded for him this offseason.

Not only can McDaniel bring this system to Miami, but he is bringing serious speed and talent with Tyreek Hill and Cedrick Wilson Jr. joining Jaylen Waddle in the receiving corps. This passing game is going to open up after two years of Tua forcing throws into tightly covered receivers who couldn’t separate.

If Miami could win nine games the last two years, it can do it again (and more) with these improvements in place. McDaniel is a good pick for Coach of the Year too as he is going to earn much of the credit if this team makes the playoffs.

Always check back for more daily NFL predictions before making your bets.