Building a Parlay for NFL Games in Week 12
Here are our free sports picks for a three-leg parlay for NFL Week 12 with odds around +430. Always be sure to shop around for the best NFL odds, especially when it comes to NFL parlay bets and NFL parlay picks.
Panthers Prop: D.J. Moore Over 46.5 Receiving Yards vs. Broncos (-117)
Our first leg of the parlay may be viewed as a risk, but you have to think D.J. Moore is thrilled about the quarterback change in Carolina. He was never a fan of Baker Mayfield there, the team didn’t let P.J. Walker throw much, so let’s see what Sam Darnold can do in his first start of 2022.
Last season, Darnold had an immediate connection with Moore as his No. 1 receiver. Moore finished the season with over 46.5 yards in 13-of-17 games. Moore had at least 79 yards in each of his first four games with Darnold as his quarterback. The last time the two played together, Moore had 87 yards against Tampa Bay in Week 18.
You might think it’s risky because of the Denver defense, but we are seeing some cracks with that unit after Davante Adams had 141 yards against the Broncos on Sunday, his second 100-yard game of 2022 against Denver.
Moore is not as good as Adams, but it was just two weeks ago when Tennessee’s Nick Westbrook-Ikhine had 119 yards and two touchdowns against the Broncos.
In all, the Broncos have allowed 14 players to have over 46.5 receiving yards this season, and 10 of those games were by wide receivers.
Moore has not surpassed 30 yards in three straight games, but let’s bank on him to produce with Darnold back as his quarterback.
Read our NFL player props page for more ideas on player props.
Alternate Total: Rams-Chiefs Over 40.5 Points (-142)
The game with the largest spread this week is the Rams as a 15.5-point underdog in Kansas City. Let’s just say Bryce Perkins vs. Patrick Mahomes won’t produce a 54-51 score like the last game between these teams did in 2018’s instant classic. Those were much fonder days for the Rams, who are without Matthew Stafford (concussion) and Cooper Kupp (ankle) possibly for the rest of the season.
But Sean McVay is supposed to be an offensive genius, right? He has to figure something out here with Perkins’ mobility, something he’s never had at the position before with five seasons split between Jared Goff and Stafford.
The Rams have just played in games with 44 and 47 points the last two weeks despite their struggles on offense and Stafford leaving last week’s game. Then there is the fact that you have Mahomes and Andy Reid cooking up things at home after another big win over the Chargers. The Chiefs are always a threat to drop 30 or 40 points.
But with a total of 42 points, this is the lowest total in any Mahomes start in the NFL. The previous low was a 43-point total in 2019 against the Broncos, which ended up being a 23-3 win by the Chiefs.
But the 2019 defense was much better for the Chiefs, who have allowed at least 17 points in 15 straight games, including one home game to the Titans led by rookie quarterback Malik Willis. The Rams do not have Derrick Henry, but they have the ability to score 13-to-17 points in this one to go along with the usual 27-plus from Mahomes and the Chiefs.
Let’s tease the total down to 40.5 and take the over.
Read our NFL over/unders page for more advice on betting totals.
Team Total: Eagles Over 25 Points vs. Packers (-148)
The final leg of our parlay with three NFL picks is trusting the Eagles to play a sharper game at home on Sunday night against a Green Bay defense that allowed 27 points to Tennessee and 28 to Dallas at Lambeau Field the last two weeks.
The Eagles have not looked stellar with 19 points per game over their last two games, but we know the talent here is still special with Jalen Hurts, A.J. Brown, DeVonta Smith, Miles Sanders, and one of the best offensive lines.
The Packers also allowed 27 points to all three New York teams earlier this season, and that is especially embarrassing against the Jets with Zach Wilson. The Packers tend to forget Jaire Alexander can cover No. 1 receivers, so this could be a big game for A.J. Brown again. Hurts used his legs very well in Indy last week, and this running game needs to get going against a bottom 10 run defense.
With teams like the Cowboys and 49ers making statements in the NFC in front of national audiences the last week, the Eagles could use this platform as a good reminder they have the best record in the NFL. Take them to score more than 25 points in this one.
Read our NFL spreads page for more tips on spread picks.
Why Are NFL Parlays Popular to Bet?
The popularity of NFL parlay betting is exploding now that more sportsbooks are offering a wide variety of picks that you can add to the same betslip for a nice payout if you are fortunate enough to win.
Now each week in the NFL offers you the chance to make your own Hail Mary with a parlay that could turn a small wager into a great win. Just remember that each additional leg will make it harder for you to win.
How Does a Parlay Work?
NFL parlay bets are simply wagers that consist of multiple bets on the same slip. For you to win your parlay, every leg must hit. Going 9-1 on a 10-leg parlay is still a losing bet, which is what makes NFL parlay picks both so fun and frustrating.
If one of your legs is a push and the rest are a win, most sportsbooks will consider your parlay a winner. The push leg will get voided out and your payout will be for reduced odds with that leg removed.
Also, if you bet on a player prop and that player ends up being inactive for the game due to injury, sportsbooks should void that leg out and allow the rest of your NFL parlay picks to play out.
Remember, a two-leg bet is technically still a parlay. If you bet on the Rams to cover and the game to go under the total, that would be a parlay. Some sportsbooks allow you to have up to 24 legs on a parlay, though many will cap you at a maximum of 12 legs. You will have to check the rules for the sportsbook you are using to see the limit for NFL parlay picks.
Which Types of Bets Can I Add to My Parlays?
This again varies based on which sportsbook you use, but generally speaking, these are some of the NFL markets you can put together NFL parlay bets from different games with various NFL odds:
- Player props (yards and touchdown scorers)
- Winning margin (Team A wins by 1-13 or 14+ points)
- Correct score (extremely difficult to do for one game, let alone multiple)
Alternate lines for many of these NFL picks and parlays can also be substituted, allowing for a mind-bending number of possibilities each week.
What Is a Same Game Parlay?
A big reason for the growing popularity in NFL parlay picks is the addition of Same Game Parlays (SGP) at FanDuel, also known as One Game Parlay at other sportsbooks. FanDuel has especially made SGP popular in the 2021 season when it introduced an even more addictive feature with Same Game Parlay+ (SGP+). This basically allows you to link multiple SGP from different games together, or just combine single NFL picks and parlays together.
To drive home the point of how fun, challenging, and possibly rewarding NFL parlay betting can be, let’s look at a real example of a SGP and SGP+.
Here is a sample six-leg SGP on Bills vs. Rams:
- Bills to win by 1-13 points (+160)
- Cooper Kupp Any Time Touchdown Scorer (-155)
- Stefon Diggs Any Time Touchdown Scorer (+130)
- Gabriel Davis Over 60.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
- Matthew Stafford 250+ Passing Yards (-192)
- Josh Allen 250+ Passing Yards (-230)
- Total Odds: +2541
To make this a SGP+, you would just add bets from other games, such as the Colts beating the Texans (-340) and the Panthers (-1.5) covering against Cleveland at -110. Just like that your eight-leg SGP+ has odds of +6425. A $5 wager would win $321.26.
Before you quit your day job to take up NFL parlay betting full time, just remember that odds of +6425 means the probability of this hitting is around 1.5%. Even the SGP here at +2541 is around 3% in probability. This is why professional gamblers stay away from NFL parlay picks, but if you are just looking for fun wagers during the NFL season, feel free to treat NFL picks and parlays as little lottery tickets.