Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers: Picks and Predictions For Game 5

The Miami Heat will look to get the edge back after dropping back-to-back games to the Philadelphia 76ers. The series now travels to South Beach for the tie-breaking matchup. Who’ll win? Let’s find out!

Top Two Picks For Heat vs Sixers Game 5

Miami Heat -3.5 @-110

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Under 209.5 Points @-110 

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The Miami Heat (59-32 SU) and (51-39-1) ATS) will gladly head back home to regroup and go back to basics. They couldn’t find success on the road against the Philadelphia 76ers (57-35 SU) and (43-47-2 ATS) upon Joel Embiid’s return and now the series is tied to two wins apiece.

Kyle Lowry re-aggravated his hamstring injury in Game 4 and his status for the remainder of the series is still up in the air. Jimmy Butler had one of the best playoff performances of his career but it wasn’t enough to keep up with James Harden’s throwback game.

The former Houston Rockets star finally had the offensive explosion he was due for, scoring 31 points with 7 rebounds, 9 assists, 1 steal, and 1 three-pointer; while Embiid also chipped in with 24 points, 11 rebounds, and 1 block.

Now, Doc Rivers will hope that Harden can keep the foot on the gas and build from that inspiring performance, as he had left a lot to be desired since the start of the playoffs. Erik Spoelstra, on the other hand, will demand better defensive performance from his squad.

Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers Game 5 Info

Date/Time: Tuesday, May 10, 2022, 7:30 p.m. ET
Location: FTX Arena, Miami, Florida

Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers Prediction

Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers Game 5 Odd Analysis

As expected, the Miami Heat are once again favored for this matchup. They’re 3.5-point favorites after taking back-to-back games at FTX Arena, a place where they’ve been quite dominant throughout the whole campaign.

Moreover, the game total for this game went slightly up. From 208 points for Game 4 to 209.5 points in Game 5, it’s clear that oddsmakers have made adjustments upon Embiid’s return and Harden’s offensive explosion.

Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers Picks For Game 5

So, this is what we’re all here for. In the next paragraphs, we’ll share our top picks for Heat vs Sixers Game 5. Also, don’t forget to visit our NBA Picks and Daily NBA Parlays sections if you’re looking to get an in-depth look and expert insight on all the games of this NBA Playoffs!

Heat Get The Lead Back, Cover -3.5 Points @-110 (Odds via DraftKings)

The first two games at FTX Arena were easy blowouts for Erik Spoelstra’s side. That won’t be the case again, but we still think the Miami Heat should come on top and get the lead back in the series, as they’re not the kind of team that’ll drop three games in a row.

The Philadelphia 76ers have proven to be a stout rival, especially now that DeAndre Jordan isn’t asked to fill in at the five. They’ll fight hard and there’ll be plenty of lead changes in this game, but the home side will get the win a 5-point win at home.

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Defense Prevails Again, Heat And Sixers Go Under The 209.5 Points Total @-110 (Odds via BetMGM)

The Miami Heat take a lot of pride in their defense. They’re physical and quite effective at swarming the three-point line and dominating both sides of the glass to avoid second-chance opportunities for their rivals.

That will be once again on the full display when they get back home after allowing the Philadelphia 76ers to shoot 54% from the floor and 48% from deep in Game 4. The Sixers scored 34 points in the paint and forced 13 turnovers, and we expect this to be another low-scoring, old-school, defensive-oriented game. So, if you’re a fan of old-school hoops, visit our Heat vs Sixers Game 5 streaming article so you don’t miss a second of the action.

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Our Bonus Player Prop Pick: Tyler Herro o15.5 Points @-105 (Odds via FanDuel)

Reigning Sixth Man of the Year Tyler Herro was a massive factor for the Heat in both wins. He was on human torch mode in Game 1 with a 25-point performance and scored 18 in Game 2. He was limited to just 11 points on 4/12 shooting in the past matchup, knocking down just 1 of 5 three-point attempts. We expect him to get more open looks back at home and top the 15.5-point plateau again, as he averaged nearly 21 points per game in the regular season.

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