Warriors vs. Nuggets NBA Playoffs Game 3 Prediction: Betting Odds, Line & Pick

Check out our Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets betting picks and odds for the NBA Western Conference Playoffs First Round Game 3 that will take place in Ball Arena, Denver, CO, on April 21, 2022.

After two furious victories at home opening the NBA Playoffs, the Golden State Warriors are heading to Denver hoping to get the job done. Steph Curry returned to action after missing the previous month with a leg injury and quickly made a statement that the Warriors are back. Third-year guard Jordan Poole is the story of the series so far, averaging 29.5 points per game for the Warriors. The reigning MVP Nikola Jokic seems like he is all on his own trying to take the Nuggets on his back. Draymond Green and Kevon Looney have played great defense on him which doesn’t give many chances for the Nuggets to come back in the series.

Follow all the action from the NBA Playoffs including the Warriors vs. Nuggets series. Following are all the facts you need to know about the Warriors vs. Nuggets Game 3 and you can also check our expert daily picks.

Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets Game Info

Matchup: Western Conference First Round Game 3 – No.3 Warriors vs. No.6 Nuggets

Tipoff time: Thursday, April 21, 2022, 10 p.m. ET

TV: TNT

Location: Ball Arena, Denver, CO

How to watch: There are several options how to watch Game 3 of the Warriors vs. Nuggets series

Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets Game 3 Odds Analysis

According to the odds, the Golden State Warriors are slight favorites going in Game 3 with -1.5 points in their favor. In the first two games that were played in San Francisco, the Warriors were 6.5 and 7 points favorites which they easily covered in both home games. Now things are a little different when the Nuggets are hosting the Warriors in the Mile High City.

• The Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog
• The Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Conference Quarterfinals games
• The Nuggets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points
• The Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record
• The Warriors are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall
• The Warriors are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game

The Moneyline for the Warriors win is at -125 while the Nuggets are at +105.

The over/under margin is set as 224 very similar to the previous two games.

• Over is 6-1 in Nuggets last 7 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game
• Over is 5-1 in Nuggets last 6 playoff games as an underdog
• Over is 4-1 in Nuggets last 5 games following a ATS loss
• Over is 4-0 in Warriors last 4 Conference Quarterfinals games
• Under is 4-0 in Warriors last 4 games playing on 2 days rest
• Over is 4-1 in Warriors last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Game 3 Predictions

Warriors -1.5

The Golden State Warriors l0oked very scary in the first two games of the series defeating the Nuggets by 16 and 20 points. Everything seemed to function perfectly for the Warriors even Steph Curry’s new role coming off the bench. The former two-time MVP scored 34 points in 25 minutes shooting a playoff career-high 71% from the field. Jordan Poole is another reason why the Warriors seem unbeatable as the third-year guard put up 30 and 29 points in the first two games. On the Nuggets’ end, Nikola Jokic is the only player who can play on the Warriors’ level but can not lift them high enough to win. That will be the case in Game 3 as well. Jokic will probably go for a triple-double but that will not be enough for the Nuggets to win.

Besides the Warriors vs. Nuggets prediction, you can also see our daily parlay picks.

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Under 224 points

The over/under margin was set pretty close for the previous two games and both of them went way over it. The Warriors shot over 50% in both games dictating the pace which prove to be fatal for the Nuggets. Mike Malone will try to change that at home hoping for a different outcome. The Warriors will play their way but the shooting percentages will slightly fall which will take this game under 224 total points.

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Player Prop Pick

Nikola Jokic over 29.5

The only player that has been dangerous for the Warriors in the first two games was Nikola Jokic. The defending MVP went over 25 points in both games but that was not even close to enough for the Nuggets to win. The Serbian center was ejected with 7 minutes left in the fourth quarter which will motivate him even more going into Game 3. It is pretty simple – if Jokic doesn’t go over 30 points, the Nuggets will stand no chance against the Warriors. Knowing how big of a competitor the Joker is, he will definitely do that.

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