Giants vs. Commanders Odds, Spread, Preview: NFL Week 15 Predictions

Giants vs. Commanders Week 15 matchup preview and current betting lines

The New York Giants and Washington Commanders played to a 20-20 overtime tie in Week 13, and they enter Week 15 tied with 7-5-1 records. This is a very big game for the NFC wild card race, which is why it was flexed into Sunday Night Football. Washington currently is in the No. 6 seed while the Giants are the No. 7 seed.

The Giants probably need this win more than Washington just to get on track after struggling since the 6-1 start. The Seahawks (7-7) and Lions (6-7) are also right on New York’s heels, and both teams have the head-to-head win over the Giants.

It’s also tougher on the Giants since they really should have won that Week 13 game against Washington. The Giants led 20-13 late and blew some golden chances to put the game away with another score. But Taylor Heinicke led a game-tying touchdown drive, and neither offense was able to move it well in the 10-minute overtime session. The Giants had a final shot at a 58-yard field goal, but it was no good, giving us the only tie of this NFL season.

But Washington has been gaining confidence after a 2-4 start with Carson Wentz at quarterback. Taylor Heinicke is not playing great, but he is better than Wentz and the Commanders are 5-1-1 with him, including the only win anyone has over the Eagles so far.

Still, this game expects to be close with Washington being one of Daniel Jones’ best opponents. Jones is 4-1-1 against Washington with the loss coming by a single point last year. He has 10 touchdowns to three interceptions with a 101.5 passer rating against this rival.

The NFL Week 15 odds have the Commanders as a 5-point home favorite with a total of 40.5 points. Can we please get a winner this time?

Players to watch in the Giants vs. Commanders game

New York Giants

Darius Slayton: If you are looking for a prop pick in this game, then the Giants’ best healthy receiver is clearly Darius Slayton. He had six catches for 90 yards in Week 13 against Washington. He also caught a touchdown in 3-of-4 games against Washington in 2019-20 when he was more of a role player. But he is the de-facto No. 1 now with so many injuries in New York.

Washington Commanders

Terry McLaurin: He has been a Giants killer in his career. McLaurin has had at least 74 yards in all six of his meetings with the Giants. He has gone over 100 yards three times, including 105 yards and a touchdown in Week 13. McLaurin is getting very comfortable with Heinicke at quarterback again, and he will look to continue this dominance against the Giants, who just allowed A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith to both go over 60 yards with a touchdown last week.

Giants vs. Commanders prediction

Our Best NFL Bets for the Giants vs. Commanders game

We have two NFL Week 15 predictions for this big NFC East rematch.

Giants vs. Commanders Point Spread Pick: Giants +5 (-110)

The Giants vs. Commanders spread opened with the Commanders as a 4.5-point home favorite. The line has gone up half a point at many sportsbooks going into the weekend.

This could be the last hurrah for the Giants with games coming up against the Vikings, Colts, and Eagles. This team is 1-4-1 in the last six games, but that tie with the Commanders sticks out the most. The opportunity was there with just over 6:00 left and the Giants leading 20-13. They started a drive at the Washington 47 and could have burned clock while adding a field goal to take a two-score lead with minutes to play. But a huge taunting penalty on the drive’s second play knocked the Giants out of field-goal range, and they never got inside the Washington 40 the rest of the game.

The defense faltered on the game-tying drive led by Heinicke with rookie Jahan Dotson navigating his way through the secondary for a 28-yard touchdown with 1:45 left.

It sounds crazy to trust the team on a slide like the Giants, but they have been able to consistently score 20-to-24 points while keeping turnovers down this year. That is usually a good formula to cover a 5-point spread.

Washington is far from a scoring juggernaut. The Commanders’ only game above 28 points was the Philadelphia upset, which included a garbage touchdown return on a fumble on the final play.

If the Giants can hold Washington under 24 points, they have an excellent chance of covering and possibly winning this game. Jones usually plays well against Washington, and with so much on the line in this game, we’re going to find out a lot about rookie coach Brian Daboll. Let’s trust him to meet the challenge and get a cover on Sunday night.

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Total: Over 40.5 Points (-110)

Are we being trolled with this line? After 70 minutes, these teams could not get over 40.5 points two weeks ago, but it was a rough third-down game for both offenses, and each team missed a field goal. If the Giants just had a few more seconds in overtime, they probably set up a shorter game-winning field goal. The NFL made a mistake in shrinking overtime by five minutes as it has led to more ties.

Gripes with ties aside, the Giants just played in a 48-22 game last week, so the defense would have covered this over by itself with how bad that performance was. Things won’t be like that this week, but it’s very realistic to think both teams can score in the 20s again, but this time someone will have more points than the other at the end.

The Giants have had four games end exactly on 40 points this season, but three of their last four games have gone over 48 points as the defense is struggling with the better competition (Lions, Cowboys, Eagles).

Washington is more likely the team to keep the score down, but with the recent struggles of the New York defense, we like the Commanders to score over 20 points.

Trust these teams to get over their tie with a higher score to hit the over for your NFL bet of the week.

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Frequently asked questions about the Giants vs. Commanders game in Week 15

The game is being played at FedExField in Landover, Maryland.

The Giants are 3-1 ATS as a road team, the best record in the league, and that does not include their upset win of the Packers in London. Washington is 4-1 ATS as a favorite, but the Giants may be more impressive at 7-2 ATS as an underdog this year. Overall, the Giants (9-4 ATS) are tied for the second-best spread record and the Commanders (7-5-1 ATS) are tied for the 10th-best record.

Remember to read our player prop picks and daily NFL predictions.