Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz NBA Playoffs Game 6 Prediction, Odds & Picks

Despite the fact that they lost Game 4 in such a tough manner, the Mavericks entered Game 5 as if nothing happened and never even gave a chance to the Jazz. Can Dallas steal Game 6 in Utah to close the series or will the Jazz manage to force Game 7?

The first round of NBA playoffs is still in progress and one of the most exciting matchups so far has been the Mavericks vs Jazz series. We’ve seen some close games and clutch shots in the series, but Game 5 was completely different – it was the Mavs all around. Dallas won that game by 25 points, so they certainly have the mental edge ahead of Game 6.

Dallas Mavericks Stats:

Record (Regular Season + Playoffs): 55-32

ATS: 50-36-1

Over/Under: 33-53-1

Meanwhile, the Jazz failed to build on the confidence after a heroic Game 4 win. From start to finish, Game 5 was never in question and the Jazz will now have to find a way to win in Utah if they want to get to Game 7. But the Jazz are facing another problem – Donovan Mitchell suffered an injury in Game 5. And while the MRI revealed no damage to his hamstring, he is listed as questionable for Game 6.

Utah Jazz Stats:

Record (Regular Season + Playoffs): 51-36

ATS: 34-49-4

Over/Under: 39-46-2

So, here are my picks and predictions for Thursday’s NBA matchup between the Dallas Mavericks and the Utah Jazz.

Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz Game 6 Info

Date/Time: Thursday, April 28, 2022, 10 p.m. ET
TV: TNT (How to Live Stream the Game)
Location: Vivint Arena, Salt Lake City, UT

Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz Game 6 Odds Analysis

The Jazz are still seen as the favorites by some bookies for Game 6, which is only due to the fact that they will host the game in Salt Lake City. Otherwise, the Mavericks were the team that showed more in the series. That being said, most bookies offer the same odds (-110) on both teams on money line.

Meanwhile, the line for total points dropped a bit from 211.5 for Game 5 to 209.5 for Game 6. But, after we saw just 179 points being scored in Game 5, that’s hardly a surprise. You can check out the odds on this and other NBA games amongst our NBA playoffs parlay tips.

Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz Game 6 Picks

We’ve now talked about some key things to keep in mind for Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz Game 6 and it’s time for us to share our NBA betting picks for this game:

Dallas Mavericks on Money Line @ -110 (Odds via FanDuel)

The Jazz were the inferior team in this series, in our opinion, and they were lucky to win Game 4 or they would already be eliminated. Now that the Mavericks are complete, with the exception of Hardaway Jr, we don’t see the Jazz winning the next two teams to win the series.

In fact, we don’t even see them taking Game 6, despite the fact that they are hosting the game. One of the reasons is the fact that Donovan Mitchell could miss this game after getting injured in the last one. If that happens, the Jazz stand no chance, If Mitchell plays, their odds are obviously much better, but we would still go with the Mavs.

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Under 209.5 Total Points @ -110 (Odds via BetMGM)

Although we’ve seen games going over in this series, twice, the other three have gone under. And despite the line for total points usually set pretty low, those games that went under were under by a lot. For example, the line for Game 5 was 211.5 total points and we’ve seen just 179 points being scored.

This is hardly surprising since both teams are ranked in top ten in defensive rating, while the Mavericks have played the best defense in the NBA in the last couple of months of the regular season. Taking all this into consideration, we can see Game 6 going under as well.

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Our Bonus Player Prop Pick: Luka Doncic Over 40.5 Total Points + Rebounds @ -110 (Odds via Bet365)

Despite missing the first three games of the series, Luka Doncic came back as good as ever, without missing a beat. He propped the Mavericks in both of the games since returning, getting them close to winning Game 4 and leading them to a convincing Game 5 win.

In both of those games he scored at least 30 points and grabbed at least 10 rebounds. So, we expect that trend to continue in Game 6, so we suggest betting on Doncic to have at least 41 points and rebounds combined.

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