Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz NBA Playoffs Game 4 Prediction & Match Preview

After Game 3, the Mavericks took back the home-court advantage by breaking Jazz in Salt Lake City, despite once again being without Luka Doncic. Can the Jazz tie the series again or will the Mavericks take a 3-1 lead after Game 4?

The Mavericks vs Jazz series are one of the most exciting in the first round of the NBA playoffs and we expect that to continue in the remaining games. The Mavericks have the 2-1 lead after taking Game 3. This was a big break for the Mavs since they were once again without Luka Doncic and with Utah being one of the hottest home courts in the league. The young Mavs’ star is again questionable for Game 4.

Dallas Mavericks Stats:

Record (Regular Season + Playoffs): 54-31

ATS: 48-36-1

Over/Under: 33-51-1

Meanwhile, the Jazz don’t look like a winning team right now. Some may even say that they don’t look like a true team at all, but we won’t go into that. The point is, the Jazz wasted a huge opportunity in this series by failing to capitalize on the absence of Luka Doncic from the first three games. It remains to be seen whether Utah can change something or will the fade out from the series.

Utah Jazz Stats:

Record (Regular Season + Playoffs): 50-35

ATS: 34-47-4

Over/Under: 39-44-2

So, here are my picks and predictions for Saturday’s NBA matchup between the Dallas Mavericks and the Utah Jazz.

Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz Game 4 Info

Date/Time: Saturday, April 23, 2022, 4:30 p.m. ET
TV: TNT (How to Watch the Game Online)
Location: Vivint Arena, Salt Lake City, UT

Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz Game 4 Odds Analysis

It’s a bit surprising to us to see that the Jazz are still favorites ahead of Game 4 by 4.5 point. We woul’ve expected the spread to be two points at the most, but the bookies and the bettors obviously still have faith in Utah and doubt the Doncic-less Mavericks. Before you place a bet on this game, check our latest NBA playoff parlay tips.

When it comes to total points, we expected a bit bigger change. Compared to Game 3, the line for total points went up by just one point and it’s set at 211.5 points. This is surprising since we saw a total of 244 points in Game 3, which means that the game went over by a huge margin (34 points).

Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz Game 4 Picks

Now that you know some of the key stats for Game 4, let’s take a look at our NBA betting picks for the upcoming Maverick vs Jazz duel:

Utah Jazz to Cover the Spread (-4.5) @ -110 (Odds via FanDuel)

The Mavericks have proved that Luka Doncic is not their whole team by beating Utah twice without him. How much of that was up to the Mavs and how much up to the Jazz is debatable, but we would hardly be surprised if Dallas wins Game 4 as well even if Doncic sits out again.

That being said, we have some faith in this Jazz team. We believe that they can do much better, at least at home. And we feel that the Game 3 loss will force them to snap out of their heads and win Game 4 with some conviction. So, our pick is for Utah to cover the spread in this game.

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Under 211.5 Total Points @ -110 (Odds via BetMGM)

We expected under total points in all three games so far, but we were right only once, in the first game. What is even more surprising to us is the fact that the Mavs won Game 3 in a real shoot-out since we expected them to lose such a game and to get a win only if they keep the total points low and slow down the game.

Despite that, we are going with under once again. These two teams are both in the top ten in league in defensive rating and after Game 3 in which they both shot lights out, we can see a completely opposite Game 4.

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 Our Bonus Player Prop Pick: Bojan Bogdanovic Over 21.5 Total Points @ -110 (Odds via Caesars)

Perhaps the most consistant performer in this series for Utah Jazz has been Bojan Bogdanovic, at least when it comes to points. He’s been a reliable source of points, scoring 26. 25. and 24 points in the first three games. More importantly, he went over the line in each of those games.

We expect the same to happen in Game 4. This is a crucial game for the Jazz if they want to stay in the series and we expect them to go to Bogdanovic more since he has great FG percentages so far in the series.

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