Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz Game 3 Prediction, Odds & Picks

With the series tied after the first two games in Dallas, we are now moving to Salt Lake City for the next two games. Can the Jazz defend their home court in Game 3 or will the Mavs get revenge for Game 1?

Perhaps one of the closest matchups in these NBA playoffs is the Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz series. After two games, we are tied at 1-1 and the next two games could be crucial for the entire series. The Jazz will host Game 3 and the next game and try to confirm the break from Game 1.

Utah Jazz Stats:

Record (Regular Season + Playoffs): 50-34

ATS: 34-46-4

Over/Under: 38-44-2

And while the Jazz can be happy since they got a break in the series, the Mavericks can also be pleased that the series are tied at the moment since they were without Luka Doncic in the first two games. His availability is under question once again. However, latest reports are positive and say that he ramped up his training, so there’s a chance that we could see him suit up for Game 3.

Dallas Mavericks Stats:

Record (Regular Season + Playoffs): 53-31

ATS: 47-36-1

Over/Under: 32-51-1

So, here are my picks and predictions for Thursday’s NBA matchup between the Dallas Mavericks and the Utah Jazz.

Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz Game 3 Info

Date/Time: Thursday, April 21, 2022, 9 p.m. ET
TV: NBA TV (How to Watch Mavs vs Jazz Game 3)
Location: Vivint Arena, Salt Lake City, UT

Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz Game 3 Odds Analysis

Just like in the first two games in Dallas, the Jazz are once again the favorites ahead of Game 3 in Salt Lake City. That is expected for two reasons – the Jazz are hosting the game and we still don’t know whether Luka Doncic will play. The spread on Utah Jazz is -6.5 points. If you want to place a bet on them, check our top NBA parlay picks first.

Meanwhile, the line for total points is changed compared to Game 2 and it’s now at 210.5 after that game has gone over by eight points. Another reason why the line has gone up is the potential return of Luka Doncic, who is closer to suiting up now than he was ahead of Game 2.

Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz Game 3 Picks

Now that we’ve mentioned some of the key stats for Game 3, let’s check our NBA betting picks for the Maverick vs Jazz duel:

Dallas Mavericks to Come Under the Spread (+6.5) @ -110 (Odds via DraftKings)

Although Utah Jazz are in better position ahead of Game 3 since they won a game away from home, they didn’t show enough considering the fact that the Mavs were without Luka Doncic in both games in Dallas. So, we are not sure whether we trust Utah to deliver at home now.

Firstly, Luka Doncic could be back for this game. However, even if he sits out again, Dallas proved that they can play without him, at least against this Jazz team that seems a bit dysfunctional at the moment. So, with the spread set at 6.5 points, we can see the Mavericks coming under it.

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Under 210.5 Total Points @ -110 (Odds via BetMGM)

Game 2 of the Mavericks vs Jazz series was a bit different compared to Game 1 and we saw a lot more points in it. That was still a low total, 214 points overall, but that was enough to push Game 2 over the line. That being said, we expect another low-scoring duel between these two teams.

As we mentioned in predictions for previous games, both teams are in the top half of the league in defensive rating. Furthermore, both teams have gone under more than they did over this season, so we can see that being the case again in Game 3, even if Doncic suits up.

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Our Bonus Player Prop Pick: Bojan Bogdanovic Over 20.5 Total Points @ -110 (Odds via Bet365)

We backed Jalen Brunson to go over in the first two games of the series and we did not make a mistake. Since Luka Doncic is out, we wanted to do so again, but at the moment, no bookies are offering player props for Dallas Mavericks’ players. So, we decided to go with Bojan Bogdanovic now.

The Croatian sharpshooter has been on point in both games in Dallas, scoring 26 and 25 points in those games. Despite this, the line on him for Game 3 is set at 20.5 total points, which he can easily surpass once again.