Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns NBA Playoffs Game 7 Prediction & Betting Tips

Six games have been played in the Mavericks vs Suns series, but we still don’t know who will play the Warriors in the Western Conference Finals. So far, each team has won games at home. Will that trend continue in Game 7 or will the Mavericks cause the biggest upset of the 2022 NBA playoffs?

We will have two Game 7s in conference semis in these NBA playoffs and one of them will be in the Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns series. The Mavericks entered the series as clear underdogs, but their performances in home games have been exceptional. They didn’t do that well on the road since we didn’t have any close games in Phoenix, but that could all change in Game 7, especially with Luka Doncic at the helm since he seems to relish big moments.

Dallas Mavericks Stats:

Record (Regular Season + Playoffs): 59-35

ATS: 54-39-1

Over/Under: 35-58-1

On the other hand, all of the pressure in this game will be on the Suns since they are the top seed and they are hosting Game 7. The Suns failed to get anything going in any of their games in Dallas, but they were pretty convincing in Phoenix, so there’s still plenty of reasons for optimism ahead of this elimination game. However, Chris Paul’s performances in the entire series are a reason to worry if you are rooting for the Suns.

Phoenix Suns Stats:

Record (Regular Season + Playoffs): 71-23

ATS: 51-43-0

Over/Under: 46-47-1

Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns Game 7 Info

Date/Time: Sunday, May 15, 2022, 8 p.m. ET
TV: TNT (How to Watch Game Online)
Location: Footprint Center, Phoenix, AZ

Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns Game 7 Odds Analysis

Despite the fact that we’ve reached Game 7, the Suns are pretty clearly favored by the bookies since the spread is set at 6.5 points, which is as high as it has been for the last game played in Phoenix. That’s not too surprising since the Suns won the last game in Phoenix by 30 points, although we did expect the spread to be a couple of points lower since it is, after all, Game 7.

Meanwhile, the line for points has dropped to the lowest level in the entire series and now it is set at 205.5 total points. That is not surprising at all since three of the last four games in the Mavs vs Suns series didn’t reach 200 points.

Now, before we share our top betting picks for the Mavericks vs Suns Game 7. keep in mind that we also provide daily NBA betting tips and parlay tips for NBA playoffs, so check them out as well.

Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns Game 7 Picks

Now is the time to share our top betting predictions for this game, so here are our picks and predictions for Sunday’s NBA matchup between the Dallas Mavericks and the Phoenix Suns.

Dallas Mavericks to Come Under the Spread (+6.5) @ -115 (Odds via BetRivers)

The lowest difference by which the Mavericks lost in all three games played in Phoenix is seven points, and yet, here we are, getting ready for Game 7. So, clearly, the Suns are the favorites in this game and it could very well end up in another convincing win for Phoenix, but we don’t see that happening.

It’s Game 7, the pressure will be worse on the Suns since they are the top seed in the entire NBA, and well, Dallas Mavericks have Luka Doncic. Despite his young age, the Slovenian superstar already has many titles under his belt, in Europe and internationally, and he was almost always at the top of his game in elimination games. So, we can see the Mavericks making this into a close game.

PLAYMAX

Over 205.5 Total Points @ -110 (Odds via BetMGM)

Yes, the line for total points is incredibly low for this game, but it is Game 7 between two great defensive teams. After all, we’ve seen fewer than 200 points in three of the last four games played in the Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns series, so we expect this game to go under 205.5 total points.

Not only that, but this is Game 7 and those tend to go way under when it comes to total points. After all, the loser will end their playoff journey and each point will be huge, the nerves will affect many players, so we don’t see how this game can go over, despite the low lite for total points.

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Our Bonus Player Prop Pick: Luka Doncic Under 53.5 Total Points, Rebounds & Assists @ -110 (Odds via DraftKings)

Without any doubt, Luka Doncic once again proved that he is the future of the NBA and, of course, Dallas Mavericks. He was great in Game 6 again, scoring 33 points but also adding 11 rebounds and 8 assists. So, we expect another big performance from Doncic in Game 7, especially since he already has a lot of experience in these types of games from overbroad.

That being said, we don’t see Doncic getting 54 points, boards, and assists. Those are some pretty high expectations, especially since Doncic only had that stat line once in these series. He did come close a couple more times and we can see that happening in Game 7 too, but we don’t see him going over.

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