Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns NBA Playoffs Game 5 Picks and Predictions

After four games in the Mavericks vs Suns series in the Western Conference semi-finals, the two teams are tied at 2-2, with each of them winning their home games. Will the trend continue in Game 5 in Phoenix or will the Mavericks win third game in a row?

We are seeing very exciting and tight series in these NBA playoffs and one of the most interesting ones is the Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns series. The Mavs managed to win their two home games to tie the series at 2-2 and to break an 11-game winning streak by the Suns against them. Now they go back to Phoenix high on confidence to try and make a break in the series.

Dallas Mavericks Stats:

Record (Regular Season + Playoffs): 58-34

ATS: 53-38-1

Over/Under: 35-56-1

Meanwhile, the Suns didn’t look like the best team in the NBA in these last two games, but this team also dropped to games to New Orleans in the first round, so they are clearly not that much above everyone else as their regular season record would suggest. Of course, they are still the favorites in the series, but it remains to be seen whether they can find the strength to win Game 5.

Phoenix Suns Stats:

Record (Regular Season + Playoffs): 70-22

ATS: 50-42-0

Over/Under: 46-45-1

Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns Game 5 Info

Date/Time: Tuesday, May 10, 2022, 10 p.m. ET
TV: TNT (Best Live Streaming Options for the Game)
Location: Footprint Center, Phoenix, AZ

Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns Game 5 Odds Analysis

The bookies don’t seem to be affected by the previous two games and the fact that the Mavs won both of them since the Suns are right back where they were ahead of the first two games of the series – a 5.5-point favorites. That being said, we expected something like this since the Suns are the top seed in the NBA.

Meanwhile, the points total keeps dropping a bit after the second game in a row in the series has gone under total points. Right now, the line for total points is set at 213.5 points, which is pretty realistic. In any case, now is the time to check our top betting tips for the Mavs vs Suns Game 5, but if you want to learn more about other games, check our daily NBA betting picks and NBA playoffs parlay tips.

Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns Game 5 Picks

We’ve now covered some of the key facts and stats about Game 5 of the series. So, here are our picks and predictions for Tuesday’s NBA matchup between the Dallas Mavericks and the Phoenix Suns.

Phoenix Suns to Cover the Spread (-5.5) @ -115 (Odds via BetRivers)

The Mavericks showed that they are not a one-man band, with a few different players stepping up to the plate in Game 4, especially Dorian Finney-Smith who dropped seven threes. So, the Suns have to be worried after losing two games in a row to the Mavs, but now we are going back to Phoenix.

The Suns were dominating in the first two games in Phoenix and we don’t see why they can’t do it again in Game 5. After all, they were close in most of Game 4 as well, despite Chris Paul being in foul trouble and eventually fouling out early in the fourth quarter. With that in mind, we can see the Suns fighting back and covering the spread in Game 5.

PLAYMAX

Over 213.5 Total Points @ -110 (Odds via BetMGM)

We’ve seen a bit of a trend so far in the series – the games in Phoenix, which the Suns won, went over, while the games in Dallas, which the Mavs won, have gone under total points. So, now we are back in Phoenix for Game 5 and we can see that game going over 213.5 total points.

After all, we’ve seen 212 points being scored in Game 4, which is already pretty close to the line. And while both teams can play great defense, they are also capable of playing very good offense too.

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Our Bonus Player Prop Pick: Chris Paul Over 16.5 Total Points @ -105 (Odds via DraftKings)

Chris Paul struggled in the last two games, scoring 17 points in total in both of them. He was especially struggling in Game 4 since he was constantly in foul trouble, ending up playing only 23 minutes in this game. But we’ve seen this already in the first round against the Pelicans – Paul struggling in one game just to once again show who is the main man in the next.

In the first two games of the Mavericks vs Suns series played in Phoenix, Chris Paul scored 19 and 28 points. So, we see no reason why the most experienced player on the court can’t dust off the last two games and forget about them, so he can have a good Game 5 and score at least 17 points in it.

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