Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns NBA Playoffs Game 1 Picks and Predictions

Both the Mavericks and the Suns played six games to reach the Western Conference semi-finals. So, which team will take the lead in the series after Game 1 in Phoenix?

The NBA playoffs are entering the most exciting part with conference semis on their way. The Mavericks vs Jazz series in the Western Conference should be very interesting and the Mavericks will try to overcome the fact that the Suns have the home court advantage in the series.

Dallas Mavericks Stats:

Record (Regular Season + Playoffs): 56-32

ATS: 51-36-1

Over/Under: 33-54-1

Meanwhile, the Suns enter Game 1 as the favorites and the top seed in the entire league. The team did struggle a bit against the Pelicans in first round, but they seem ready to take on Dallas and continue their road to winning the championship after reaching the NBA Finals last season.

Phoenix Suns Stats:

Record (Regular Season + Playoffs): 68-20

ATS: 48-40-0

Over/Under: 44-43-1

So, here are my picks and predictions for Monday’s NBA matchup between the Dallas Mavericks and the Phoenix Suns.

Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns Game 1 Info

Date/Time: Monday, May 2, 2022, 10 p.m. ET
TV: TNT (How to Live Stream the Game)
Location: Footprint Center, Phoenix, AZ

Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns Game 1 Odds Analysis

The Suns are clearly the favorites ahead of Game 1 since they are hosting the game and they have been the best team in the NBA so far this season. The spread is set at 5.5 points, which is pretty much where we expected it to be. So, if you want to include this game in your parlay bet, check our NBA playoffs parlay tips too.

Meanwhile, the line for the Mavericks vs Suns total points is set at 214.5 points, which is in line with our expectations as well. After all, both teams play good defense and two of the three h2h duels between these teams in the regular season have gone under that line already.

Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns Game 1 Picks

Before we dig deeper into our Dallas Mavericks vs Phoenix Suns Game 1 predictions, don’t forget to check our daily NBA betting tips as well. So, here are our Mavs vs Suns betting picks:

Phoenix Suns to Cover the Spread (-5.5) @ -110 (Odds via FanDuel)

The Suns are on a nine-game winning streak against the Mavericks, which is bound to give them additional confidence ahead of Game 1 of the series. In addition to this, the Suns beat the Mavericks by 6 or more points in all three of their duels in the regular season.

So, with the Suns hosting the game and having Devin Booker back from his injury, we can see them winning the game and covering the spread. Of course, the Mavericks should not be underestimated, but the Suns are simply the better and deeper team than Dallas and that should make a difference.

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Under 214.5 Total Points @ -110 (Odds via BetMGM)

Two of the three head-to-head duels between Dallas and Phoenix in the regular season have gone under 215 points and we can see that being the case in Game 1 of the Western Conference semis as well. After all, both teams are in top 10 in defensive rating and they’ve shown the ability to play great defense in these playoffs.

The Mavericks have been particularly impressive on the defensive end in the last couple of months and that has been their biggest strength compared to previous seasons. And with the Suns playing at home, they aren’t going to allow a lot of points at this stage of the playoffs to anyone, including the Mavs.

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Our Bonus Player Prop Pick: Chris Paul Over 9.5 Total Assists @ -150 (Odds via Bet365)

Chris Paul failed to get to 10 assists in just one of the six games against the Pelicans in the first round of the playoffs, so this seems like a pretty good bet to us. Of course, the odds are a bit lower than we would’ve liked, but given the fact that Paul averages 11.3 assists per game in these playoffs, we certainly expect him to get to 10 in Game 1.

In addition to this, Devin Booker is back and that will allow Paul to share the scoring load with him, focusing more on distributing the ball than putting it into the basket himself.

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