Dallas Cowboys vs. Washington Commanders Odds, Spread, Preview: NFL Week 18 Predictions

By Lawrence Smelser

Dallas Cowboys vs. Washington Commanders Week 18 matchup preview and current betting lines

The Cowboys will fly to the nation’s capital to take on their NFC East rivals, the Commanders Sunday. Kickoff is slated for 4:25 p.m. ET and the matchup can be seen on FOX.

A lot rides on this game for Dallas including a divisional title and potentially the No. 1 overall seed in the NFC. 

America’s team (12-4) needs Philadelphia (13-3) to lose to New York and must win against Washington in order to win the NFC East crown for a second consecutive year. In order to gain the one seed in the NFC it’ll need Philadelphia to lose and San Francisco to fall against Arizona (unlikely). 

Washington (7-8-1) has been eliminated from playoff contention after its embarrassing 24-10 loss to Cleveland. After the game, a reporter questioned head coach Ron Rivera who provided a rather shocking answer.

Dallas is coming off of an impressive 27-13 win over Tennessee on Thursday Night Football. The Cowboys have now won back-to-back contests.

Jerry Jones definitely has his sights set on a Super Bowl run after last year’s disappointing first-round elimination at the hands of San Francisco.

The current moneyline odds for this matchup on Caesars Sportsbook are Dallas (-320) vs. Washington (+250). Bookmakers favor the Cowboys as seven-point favorites at +100 odds. 

The game total is set at 41 points. Among the public, 52% of spread bets have been placed on the Commanders to cover and 61% of the money is on the silver and blue to win straight up. 

Players to watch in the Cowboys vs. Commanders contest

Dallas

Tony Pollard: The 25-year-old is enjoying a career year and has recorded 186 rush attempts for 988 yards and 12 total touchdowns. Head coach Mike McCarthy will feed him once again and help him reach 1,000 rushing yards for the first time as a pro.

Washington

Terry McLaurin: The former Ohio State Buckeye is having a great season with 74 receptions for 1,117 yards and four touchdowns. McLaurin has now reached 1,000 receiving yards for his third year in a row. His 15.1 yards per catch average is ninth in the NFL in 2022-2023.

Dallas vs. Washington prediction and odds

Our NFL bet of the week for the Cowboys vs. Commanders

ESTNN is providing bettors with two free selections for this game.

Dallas vs. San Francisco Alternate Spread: Cowboys (-4) @ -184 (Caesars)

Rivera has had a quarterback problem in Washington with Taylor Heinicke and Carson Wentz. The head coach made Heinicke the starter after Wentz missed time with an injury and kept him as the QB1 when Wentz became healthy again.

Heinicke went 5-3-1 as the team’s starter but suffered a draw and two defeats in his last three games. Rivera then decided put Wentz back in the driver’s seat, which many pundits and fans believe was a big mistake. 

In a must-win game against the Browns which the team lost, Wentz struggled once again throwing 16-of-28 passes for 143 yards and three interceptions. The former No. 2 overall pick was also sacked three times. Wentz is now 2-5 as a starter this season. 

Wentz and Heinicke’s stats below show Rivera might have made a mistake making the switch. The locker room reportedly supported Heinicke after he was initially made the starter.

Carson Wentz Stats                                 

Passing yards: 1,755

Touchdown passes: 11

Interceptions: 9 

Quarterback rating: 33.2 

Taylor Heinicke Stats

Passing yards: 1,859 

Touchdown passes: 12

Interceptions: 6 

Quarterback rating: 45.2 

The Cowboys don’t have a quarterback problem. Prescott might be throwing too many interceptions this season (14 which is T-31st in the NFL) but he’s managed to throw for 2,732 yards, 22 touchdowns and boasts a QBR of 63.2 (fifth in the league). 

Prescott and his team are on a tear and have won eight of their last 10 games. The offense ranks No. 2 in points per game (28.8) and ninth in yards per game (365.8).

Dan Quinn’s defense spearheaded by linebacker Micah Parsons has also performed well this year. The unit ranks sixth in scoring defense (19.8 points surrendered per contest) and 13th in yards allowed (331.5). It has also registered the third most sacks (51) and averages two takeaways per game (first).

Washington’s mediocre offense averages just 18.4 points per game (eight-worst) and is gaining 331.6 yards each week (21st). 

The Cowboys are 12-4 against the spread on the road this season and in their last six wins, have won by an average of 17.3 points. The Commanders have failed to cover the spread in their previous four contests and are 2-6 ATS in their last eight matchups against the Cowboys.

At ESTNN, we believe Carson Wentz will struggle as he usually does and that Dallas will cover an alternate 4-point spread. Caesars Sportsbook is offering -184 odds for the selection.

Bet on NFL with caesars >

Cowboys vs. Commanders odds: Lamb over 100 rec yards and Elliott anytime TD scorer parlay @ +380 (DraftKings)

CeeDee Lamb has recorded at least 100 yards receiving in three straight contests. In those contests, he’s seen 32 targets and made 28 catches.

Ezekiel Elliott has scored a touchdown in nine-straight contests. The former No. 4 overall pick has scored 12 rushing touchdowns in just 14 games. The Ohio State product has 39 rushes and two receptions inside the 20-yard line.

Our pick is to parlay Lamb to have over 100 receiving yards and Elliott to score. The bet is available on DraftKings at +380 combined odds.

If you’re interested in learning about more prop bets for week 18, read our NFL player props page.

bet on NFL with draftkings >

Frequently asked questions regarding Dallas vs. Washington in Week 18

Dallas selected Lamb with the 17th overall pick in the first round of the 2020 NFL Draft out of Oklahoma.

If you’re interested in seeing other game lines, read our NFL odds for this week page for more information. 

We have a page dedicated to providing advice about NFL daily picks and predictions