Washington Commanders vs. Philadelphia Eagles Odds, Spread, Preview: NFL Week 10 Predictions

By Lawrence Smelser

Washington Commanders vs. Philadelphia Eagles Week 10 matchup preview and current betting lines

The Commanders will travel to Lincoln Financial Field to take on their NFC East rivals, the Eagles, for Monday Night Football. Kickoff is set for 8:15 ET and ESPN is broadcasting the matchup.

Philadelphia (8-0) is the lone undefeated team remaining in the NFL. Its quarterback, Jalen Hurts, is playing at an MVP caliber and is +225 to win the award (second to Patrick Mahomes at +200). 

The Eagles are currently the favorites to win the NFC at +170. They are also +500 to win the Super Bowl behind the Bills (+330).

Nick Sirianni’s men are coming off a comfortable 29-17 win over the Texans last Thursday. After falling behind 7-0 early in the first quarter, the Eagles responded and never looked back, outscoring Houston 29-10 for the rest of the contest. 

Washington (4-5) began its year 1-4 but reeled off four-straight wins to keep the playoffs within the team’s rearview mirror. “Riverboat” Ron Rivera’s squad nearly won a fifth game in a row against the Vikings but blew a 10-point fourth-quarter lead. Greg Joseph broke the Washington faithful’s hearts as he knocked through a 28-yard field goal with 12 seconds left to secure a 20-17 win for Minnesota. 

Oddsmakers at DraftKings Sportsbook are favoring the Eagles by 11 points. On the moneyline, Washington is +400 and Philadelphia is -500. The public has put 65% of their bets on the Commanders to cover and 51% of the money is on the Eagles to win straight up.

Players to watch in the Commanders vs. Eagles contest

Washington

Terry McLaurin: The alpha wide receiver in Washington’s offense is on pace for his third-straight 1,000-yard season. The former Buckeye has recorded 38 receptions for 609 yards and two touchdowns. He’s made extremely clutch catches at the end of games which have earned his team wins.

Philadelphia

AJ Brown: Tennessee didn’t want to pay the Pro Bowl wide receiver so they traded him to the Eagles for the 18th overall pick in the draft. Brown has made the Titans regret that decision as he’s posted 43 receptions for 718 yards (6th) and six touchdowns (T-4th). His 16.7 yards per catch is fifth-best in the NFL. Meanwhile, Tennessee receivers didn’t record a catch in their 20-17 overtime loss to Kansas City last week.

Our NFL bet of the week for the Commanders vs. Eagles

ESTNN is providing bettors with two free selections for this game.

Washington vs. Philadelphia Spread: Washington +11 @ -110

When the books give you an 11-point underdog during primetime, you take the dog to cover. This is a divisional battle as well, which tend to feature tight matchups. 

The Commanders have played teams very closely over the last five weeks. In that span, the average margin (win or lose) has been three points. Since the start of the season, the average score difference is 6.8. In all five losses, Rivera’s team has been defeated by an average of 9.4 points. 

Washington’s last five games

Titans 21-17 (L)

@ Bears 12-7 (W)

Packers 23-21 (W)

@ Colts 17-16 (W)

Vikings 20-17 (L)

The Commanders rank in the middle of the pack statistically on defense. They are 14th in the league for total defense (330.7) and 16th in points allowed. Offensively, the unit has been deplorable and is scoring just 17.7 points per game (26th). The offense is posting 323.4 YPG (21st). 

The Eagles are extremely balanced on both sides of the ball. Philly sports the third-best total offense (391 YPG) and second-best scoring offense (28.1 PPG). On defense, the Eagles boast the third-ranked total defense (allowing 299 YPG) and are fourth in scoring defense (16.9 PPG). 

Jalen Hurts has lit up opposing defenses through both the air and on the ground this year. If Hurts doesn’t win MVP, he’ll likely win the Most Improved Player Award. Hurts has thrown for 2,042 yards, 12 touchdowns, two interceptions and has a quarterback rating of 63.1 (sixth). The former Oklahoma Sooner has also rushed for 326 yards and six touchdowns.

Jalen Hurts arriving tonight

He has 6 TDs, 0 INTs last 2 wins

Coming off the 2 best QB ratings of his career

pic.twitter.com/mkZWOmjxUa

— John Clark (@JClarkNBCS) November 15, 2022

The quarterback he’ll be facing, Taylor Heinicke, has done a good job filling in for Carson Wentz. He’s actually played better than the former No. 2 overall pick and boasts a higher quarterback rating, passer rating, completion percentage and average yards per pass attempt. 

Heinicke is 2-1 as the starter compared to Wentz’s 2-4 record. The Old Dominion product has won the same amount of games in three fewer contests. 

Washington is 4-4-1 against the spread this season and 5-0-1 ATS in its last six games played in November. Philadelphia is 5-3 ATS this year and 5-10 ATS in its previous 15 November matchups. 

Our pick at ESTNN is to take the Commanders to cover the 11-point spread on the road. DraftKings Sportsbook is offering -110 odds for the bet. 

bet on NFL with draftkings >

Commanders vs. Eagles odds: Dallas Goedert over 48.5 receiving yards @ -119

The tight end out of South Dakota State is second on the Eagles in receiving with 521 yards. He also ranks second among all tight ends in the league behind Travis Kelce (740). Through eight weeks, Goedert is averaging 65.1 yards per game.

The 27-year-old has hit the receiving yards over prop in 11 of his last 16 contests. Goedert has recorded 60 or more yards in six of eight games this season. He’s only been targeted less than six times in two games.

Goedert should have plenty of opportunities to gain chunks of yardage against a weak Washington defense that ranks 18th against the pass (217.4 YPG).

Our pick is to bet the over 48.5 receiving yards prop on Caesars. The sportsbook is offering -119 for the selection. 

If you’re interested in learning about more prop bets for week 10, read our NFL player props page.

Bet on NFL with caesars >