Tampa Bay (-2.5) to cover vs. Cleveland Alternate Spread
Amari Cooper over 52.5 rec yards Player Prop
By Lawrence Smelser
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Cleveland Browns Week 12 matchup preview and current betting lines
The Buccaneers will travel to FirstEnergy Stadium in Cleveland to take on the Browns. The bout is set for 1 p.m. ET and FOX will broadcast the matchup.
After suffering a three-game losing streak, it appears Tom Brady and his Buccaneers are back on track. Tampa Bay (5-5) has now won two in a row against the Rams and Seahawks.
In Munich, the Bucs jumped out to a 21-3 dominant lead at the start of the fourth quarter. Seattle responded with two late touchdowns to cut the lead to five with 3:58 left on the clock but was unable to receive the ball back.
The Browns (3-7) are on a two-game skid and have lost six of their previous seven contests. Kevin Stefanski and his team’s most recent loss came 31-23 at the hands of Buffalo.
Deshaun Watson, who was suspended for 11 games, makes his debut with the Browns next Sunday. Jacoby Brissett will start this week one final time.
Watson signed a five-year, $230 million contract during the offseason with Cleveland. The former Texan hasn’t seen action since the 2020 season.
Oddsmakers at FanDuel Sportsbook are favoring the Bucs by 3.5 points. On the moneyline, Tampa Bay is -170, and Cleveland is +150. Gamblers have put 64% of their bets on the Buccaneers to cover and 53% of the money on them to win straight up.
Players to watch in the Buccaneers vs. Browns contest
Mike Evans: The 7th overall pick in 2014 is on pace for his ninth 1,000 yards season in a row. He’s already the first player in NFL history to have eight straight since he first entered the league. This year, Evans has 49 receptions for 671 yards and three touchdowns.
Nick Chubb: The former Georgia Bulldog has been a force on the ground for the Browns. The 26-year-old has recorded 923 rush yards (4th) and 11 touchdowns (2nd) on 174 attempts. He is averaging 5.3 yards per tote.
Our NFL bet of the week for the Buccaneers vs. Browns
ESTNN is providing bettors with two free selections for this game.
Tampa Bay vs. Cleveland Alternate Spread: Buccaneers -2.5 @ -140 (Bet365)
During Tampa Bay’s losing streak the team struggled mightily in the red zone. Out of 32 teams, Brady’s offense ranks 28th and is scoring on 46.67% of trips in the red area.
Offensive coordinator Byron Leftwich appears to have found a solution. Against Seattle, Tampa scored a touchdown 60% of the time inside the 20.
Tampa Bay’s top-10 defense is what has been keeping them in games. The unit ranks fourth in points allowed (18) and eighth in total defense (310 yards surrendered per game).
On the other side of the ball, the Bucs are 17th in yards per game (340.5) and 27th in weekly points scored (18.3). Tom Brady started the year off rough but has started to look like his vintage self.
Tom Brady Stats
Passing yards: 2,804 (2nd)
Touchdown passes: 12 (T-18th)
Interceptions: 2 (1st)
Quarterback rating: 54.6 (15th)
Cleveland is very poor defensively. The unit is third-worst in points allowed per contest (26.9) and ranks 19th in total defense (349.9 YPC).
Offensively the organization is much more efficient. The Browns are fourth in yards per outing (377.9) and 10th in points per game (24).
The Buccaneers are 3-6-1 against the spread this season but are 4-1 ATS in their previous five meetings with the Browns. Cleveland is 4-6 ATS and 2-5 ATS in its last seven matchups.
At ESTNN, we believe it’s wise to bet Tampa Bay to cover an alternate 2.5-point spread. Bet365 Sportsbook is offering -140 odds for the selection.
Tampa Bay vs. Cleveland odds: Amari Cooper over 52.5 receiving yards @ -117 (Caesars)
Cleveland acquired Cooper in the offseason for a paltry 5th-round draft pick from Dallas. The Cowboys must be kicking themselves as they try and sign Odell Beckham to provide assistance for Dak Prescott.
Cooper has gone over the 52.5 receiving yard mark (at least 74 yards) in 6-of-10 games this campaign. Over the past four weeks, he’s done it three times.
This year, the former Alabama star is averaging 69.8 yards per game which is 17.3 more yards than the 52.5-yard prop. Cooper’s average of 14 yards per catch allows him to garner high totals without needing much volume.
He’ll have a good opportunity with the game script likely involving Cleveland playing catch-up for most of the afternoon. Caesars is offering the prop at -117 odds.
If you’re interested in learning about more prop bets for week 12, read our NFL player props page.
Frequently asked questions regarding Tampa Bay vs. Cleveland in week 12
No, Cleveland has never even appeared in a Super Bowl. The Browns are 0-5 in conference title games.
If you’re interested in seeing other game lines, read our NFL odds for this week page for more information.
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