Browns vs. Ravens Week 7 matchup preview and current betting lines
The AFC North may be too mediocre for this to be a do-or-die game for either team, but 2-5 would be a tough spot for the Browns as would 3-4 for the Ravens. However, both teams have been terrible at holding leads this season.
Baltimore has trailed after leading by double digits in four of its last five games, including three blown double-digit leads after halftime now. The Browns’ problem has been the small leads in the fourth quarter just like 2021. Cleveland is the only team to blow three fourth-quarter leads this season, doing so in stunning fashion against the Jets, and also throwing late interceptions against the Falcons and Chargers.
Cleveland’s offense is surprisingly fourth in the NFL in yards and first downs, so the Browns are moving it well with backup Jacoby Brissett and the help of Nick Chubb’s league-leading 649 rushing yards, but Brissett has had some poorly timed turnovers, the story of his career.
Lamar Jackson is also on the books for some bad turnovers in the fourth quarter this season, doing so twice against the Bills and Giants. His MVP odds have taken a big hit after these games as he trails Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes, and Jalen Hurts by a fair gap now.
The NFL Week 7 odds have the Ravens as a 6.5-point home favorite with a total of 45.5 points in this matchup. Which team gets the job done to keep pace with the Bengals (3-3) in the division?
Players to watch in the Browns vs. Ravens game
David Njoku: In his sixth season with the team, Njoku may finally be having a breakout year at tight end. He has at least 58 yards in four consecutive games and is averaging 57.8 yards per game, easily the highest of his career. He is also catching a career-best 77.1% of his targets and is only 1 yard behind Amari Cooper (348) for the team lead this season.
Mark Andrews: The tight end is always a player to watch in this offense, but Cleveland has been one of his best opponents. Andrews has caught a touchdown in five of the last six meetings and had his first 100-yard game (115 yards) against the Browns in the last meeting despite Lamar Jackson getting injured early.
Our Best NFL Bets for the Browns vs. Ravens game
We have two NFL Week 7 predictions for this old AFC North rivalry.
Browns vs. Ravens Point Spread Pick: Browns +6.5 (-115)
The Browns vs. Ravens spread opened with the Ravens as a 5-point home favorite and it has moved up to 6.5 going into the weekend.
This is an unusual Browns-Ravens matchup as both teams are not good on defense, and they are comparable and adequate on the offensive side. We are used to seeing Lamar Jackson roll over the Browns, though he did throw four interceptions at home against them last November in a 16-10 win that the Ravens were fortunate to pull off.
Every Cleveland game has been close this year except Sunday’s 38-15 loss to the Patriots, the first time the Browns were held under 170 rushing yards this season. Nick Chubb had just 56 yards on the ground in that one, which is about his average in eight meetings with the Ravens. Out of the 13 teams who have faced Chubb more than once, the Ravens are one of only two teams to hold him under 70 yards per game. They do a good job against him, but they did allow Baker Mayfield to throw for 340 yards four times, which is something he’s only done one other time in his NFL career.
The Browns seem to have a decent read on these Ravens in the division under Kevin Stefanski. The last three meetings have been decided by six points or fewer. With the way the Ravens can’t hold a lead this year, the NFL bet of the week is to take the Browns with the points. Baltimore should win, but it is hard to trust this team to cover 6.5 right now.
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Game Prop: Neither Team to Reach 25 Points (+175)
Instead of just going with the under, let’s look for a better price and value pick with neither team to reach 25 points.
The Ravens have failed to score more than 20 points in their last three games, and they also scored just 24 on the Jets in Week 1. The Browns wish they only scored 24 on the Jets this year as Chubb’s late touchdown they didn’t need in that game set the comeback in motion for New York.
But in Jackson’s case, over the last three games he has more interceptions (four) than touchdown passes (three). His yards per attempt is down to just a miniscule 5.68 in those games as well.
Cleveland has been scoring more consistently than Baltimore, but the Browns have been held under 21 points in two of their last three games, including a season-low 15 points at home against New England. The Browns had a season-high four turnovers.
The meetings last year between these teams were 16-10 and 24-22. Let’s bank on something similar, which would produce a cover for the Browns and the game prop to hit on neither team reaching 25 points as these AFC North rivals duke it out.bet on NFL with Betrivers >
Frequently asked questions about the Browns vs. Ravens game in week 7
The game is being played at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, Maryland.
Since drafting Lamar Jackson in 2018, the Ravens are 12-20 ATS (37.5%) as a home favorite. In that same time, Cleveland is 13-10 ATS (56.5%) as a road underdog.