Minnesota to cover (-7.5) vs Chicago Spread
Adam Thielen over 53.5 receiving yards Player Prop
Chicago Bears vs. Minnesota Vikings Week 5 matchup preview and current betting lines
The Vikings host the Bears at U.S. Bank Stadium for a divisional clash on Sunday at 1 p.m. This will be the 122nd time the two meet with Minnesota leading the all-time series 63-57-2.
Minnesota (3-1) has returned from London after beating New Orleans 28-25. The win allowed the purple and gold to remain atop the NFC North Standings.
Kirk Cousins had a slightly above-average stat line, going 25-of-38 for 273 yards, paired with a touchdown and interception. The Michigan State product finished with an 84.7 passer rating and was able to move the chains.
At the end of the fourth quarter, Cousins led a six play, 53-yard drive which set up the game-winning 47-yard field goal by Greg Joseph with 24 seconds remaining. New Orleans did receive the ball back and attempted a 61-yard field goal as time expired. Will Lutz’ “double doinked” the ball off the uprights and denied the Saints overtime.
Minnesota will continue and try to win in order to take the NFC North reigns away from Green Bay (won the division the last three years). The last time the Vikings won the North was in 2017.
The Bears are coming off a 20-12 loss against the Giants in which the offensive was putrid. Chicago was unable to reach the end zone and settled four field goals. If head coach Matt Eberflus can’t fix the offense and loses this week, it’ll be back to below .500 which has been the common theme the last few years.
The current moneyline odds for this contest on BetRivers Sportsbook are Chicago (+262) vs. Minnesota (-333). The Vikings are a 7.5-point favorite on the spread at -109 odds on BetRivers.
Players to watch in the Chicago vs. Minnesota contest
Darnell Mooney: After posting a shocking 27 yards through the first three games of the season, the Bears WR1 finally had a respectable stat line against the Giants. Mooney caught four balls for 94 yards on five targets. It’s still concerning that a player who had over 1,000 yards last season hasn’t cleared six targets in a contest in 2022. This is mainly due to Chicago’s staff not allowing Fields to throw often or deep.
Justin Jefferson: Minnesota’s most dangerous weapon on offense finally bounced back after struggling to get open versus corners Darius Slay (Eagles) and Jeff Okudah (Detroit). In those two games, Jefferson had a combined 64 yards on nine catches. Against Marshon Lattimore and New Orleans, the LSU product had 10 receptions for 147 yards and a rushing score.
Our NFL bet of the week for the Bears vs. Vikings
ESTNN is providing wagerers with two free selections for this game.
Chicago vs Minnesota Spread: Minnesota -7.5 @ -109
Minnesota are clearly the better team in this matchup. Despite not playing their best football, the Vikings are still putting up points and finding ways to win in close games. The Vikings’ only loss this season was away to Philadelphia, 24-7. Minnesota didn’t play bad on either side of the ball but three picks from Cousins prevented any chance of winning.
The Bears have been an absolute train wreck on offense this campaign. Chicago ranks last in the league in passing yards, with an appalling 97.5 yards per game. It also ranks 31st in both total offense (274.8 yards per game) and points per game (16).
Offensive coordinator Luke Getsy stated during the week that it “has not been a rough month” for quarterback Justin Fields. He’s right. It hasn’t been rough, it’s been beyond awful. Fields has thrown for 471 yards (ranks dead last in the NFL) with two touchdowns, (30th) four interceptions (average of one per game) and owns a QBR of 26.2 (31st).
Minnesota is 12th in points per game allowed (20) and should find success against Field and his weak receiving corps. Starting running back David Montgomery will also likely miss the game due to injury.
Kevin O’Connell’s offense contains plenty of weapons including Jefferson, Adam Thielen and Dalvin Cook. They should provide problems for the Chicago defense. The Vikings’ running game has been struggling all season, most recently versus the Saints when Cook averaged 3.8 yards per carry.
Since the start of last season, the Bears have allowed 136.9 rushing yards per game (fourth worst in the NFL). If Minnesota can get the running game going, the Bears are in for a long day.
Minnesota has attempted a pass in the red zone on 73.7% of trips this year, the highest in the league. Chicago has allowed opposing quarterbacks to complete 70% of passes in the red zone which ranks 29th.
Chicago is 1-4 against the spread in its last five games against the Vikings and 4-11-1 ATS in its last 16 games. Our pick is to take the Vikings to cover the 7.5-point spread on BetRivers at -109 odds.
Bears vs. Vikings odds: Adam Thielen over 53.5 receiving yards @ -115
Despite Justin Jefferson being the WR1, Adam Thielen is Cousins’ security blanket. The 32-year-old has been the top receiver in Minnesota during previous seasons. In Thielen’s last two games, he has 61 and 72 yards on eight and nine targets.
As other teams have done, Chicago will likely double Jefferson. This opens up plenty of opportunities for Thielen to shine and hit the over on his receiving prop once again.
In three of Thielen’s four games this season, he has hit the over on his receiving total. He is averaging 55.3 yards per game which is 1.8 yards more than the total (53.5) is set at. Our advice at ESTNN is to take the over 53.5 receiving yards prop on BetMGM at -115 odds.
If you’re interested in learning about more prop bets for week 5, read our NFL player props page.
Frequently asked questions regarding Chicago vs. Minnesota in week 5
Chicago won one Super Bowl in 1986. Legendary head coach and former Bears’ tight end, Mike Ditka, led his team to a 46-10 victory over the New England Patriots.
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