AFC East Odds NFL 2022-23: Predictions, Picks and Best Bets

Check out everything AFC East with our top predictions

This is your one stop shop for everything AFC East throughout the NFL season. We’ll be covering news from the division, providing updates on team’s forms, the AFC East standings, and well researched AFC East odds.

Our pro pick on the New England Patriots vs Miami Dolphins AFC East matchup

Picking the standout game of the AFC East this week has been extremely tough. We’ve decided to opt for the clash between the Dolphins and Jets though and we are focussing on the total points market.

Our prediction for the over/under markets for this game is that the action will end with more than 37 points scored. We think the action will end with more than 37 points scored. The Jets have been largely low scoring of late with none of their last four games going over the 37 cut off, however, the Dolphins have seen each of their last five games go over that threshold. If you categorise those two factors as largely cancelling one another out then the head to head record should confirm why we’re betting on ‘over’; each of the last three meetings between these sides have shattered the 37 point mark with the average points haul across those three games coming in at 51 points.

Our best bet on who will win AFC East in 2023 (Pre-season thoughts)

As will always be the key question at this level of the NFL ladder we now bring your our AFC East picks on who will win the division; will we back the bookies favourite or do we expect some to beat the odds to win AFC East? Let’s find out.

Right now, the season hasn’t started but, for us, it’s clear that the Buffalo Bills are favourites to top the AFC East standings. The Bills performed admirably last season – albeit the campaign ultimately ended in a lot of ‘what if’s’. Not only will the group have learned a lot of lessons from that but they’ve made some smart additions throughout the offseason with Super Bowl LVI winner Von Miller probably the pick of the bunch.

The downside to backing the Bills to tie down top spot is that the view they’re the best of the AFC East teams is almost unanimously shared. Of course, this might provide confidence to you that they’ll get the job done but does come with the downside of odds that aren’t the most attractive in the world.

That noted, with the other AFC East teams not in a state to genuinely contend for the division crown, we still believe there is value to be had with the Bills! Of course, once the East is conquered, attention will need to turn elsewhere in the AFC. Why not check out how the West is shaping up with our AFC West page.

AFC East winner odds picks

What are the current AFC East odds?

Here are the updated odds to win the AFC East heading into Week 15:

  • Buffalo Bills @ -10000
  • Miami Dolphins @ +5000
  • New England Patriots @ Odds not offered
  • New York Jets @ Odds not offered

*Check out more information on the entire AFC by visiting our AFC Championship page.

What is the current situation in the AFC East

Here we are heading into the final round of regular season games and the AFC East still has a fair few stories pouring out.

Buffalo Bills

It would be wrong of us to start anywhere else but with the Buffalo Bills. The Bills have wrapped up the division already and look like they are the team to beat with the Super Bowl now coming more into focus. Despite that, football comes second this week – especially where the Bills are concerned. Their 24-year-old safety Damar Hamlin suffered a cardiac arrest against the Bengals with the game now not being played at all; it won’t impact on the post season though with both sides already assured of their playoff place.

New York Jets

Another team assured of their fate in the AFC East is the Jets. It’s easy to rag on them given how things ended for them but it’s also important to remember the positives. They were predicted to finish bottom of the division at the start of the campaign and whilst they will, they’ve been in the hunt for much longer than most had imagined. They could still have a massive say on things too with their final game of the season coming against their fellow divisional side, the Miami Dolphins.

Miami Dolphins

On the subject of Miami, it’s about time we talk about the Dolphins. They’ve looked superb at times this season with the triple threat of Tua Tagovailoa, Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle as good as anything in the league on their day. The trouble is, they have games where they look miles off it as well hence they’re sat on an 8-8 record and still having to nervously wait to see if their season will stretch beyond the regular season. They have to beat the Jets – but they have failed in that quest once already this season and are on a five game losing streak!

New England Patriots

Last but not least we have the Patriots. We always believed the Pats and Dolphins would be battling it out behind the Bills in the AFC East standings but did we foresee them both going into the final week with 8-8 records? We’re not sure we did. Regardless, after the Patriots edged out the Dolphins last time out that is the lay of the land meaning the Patriots have a big advantage heading into the final game. It’s the Bills that await and a Patriots win will see them finish above the Dolphins.

A statistical look at the AFC East’s history

Right, we’ll park the AFC East predictions for a minute now and instead take a brief look back at some of the AFC East’s past team achievements, rivalries, big name players and stats.

Team history

When it comes to the honours list it’s hard not to start off by mentioning the Patriots who have won a record six Super Bowls over the years; the first of those victories came in 2001 with the most recent win coming in 2018. They also have 11 Conference Championships to their name and have topped their division a whopping 22 times. That’s considerably better than their next most decorated AFC East opponent with the Dolphins having won two Super Bowls, which came back to back in the early seventies, five Conference titles and 13 division championships. Then you have the Bills boasting four Conference titles and a dozen division championships. Last but not least we have the Jets to mention; they’ve only recorded four division wins, the most recent of which was 20 years ago but have claimed a Super Bowl!

All time records

We’ve looked at the honours collected over the years above but how exactly do the AFC East teams measure up from an all-time perspective? Well, the Dolphins and the Patriots are fairly close to one another with both having a win percentage north of 57%. You’ve then got a 9% drop off to the Bills 48% and on to sub 43% for the Jets. The latter can be easily explained though by looking at the all-time point differential; with the Jets having the worst offense and worst defense we should perhaps not be all that surprised.

Biggest rivalries

If there is one clash you want to watch this season then it’s probably worth tuning in for the Patriots vs the Jets. The duo hate each other and it’s unquestionably the game with the most animosity about it in the AFC East. Why exactly is that fiery passion there more than in other fixtures? Well, you can trace the roots of the rivalry back to the “good old days” when it was still known as the AFL with more recent fuel being poured on the fire during consecutive playoff showdowns earlier this century. You’ve also got the added layer of Bill Belichick. He’s synonymous with the Patriots nowadays having guided them through the most successful period in not only their history but one of the most impressive periods in NFL history; what might have been had he not walked out on the Jets before barely getting his feet under the table!

Most famous players

We’ve already waxed lyrical about the Patriots in this section about the history of the AFC East so, unless you’ve been under a rock for the past couple of decades, it won’t surprise you to see us now do the same about Tom Brady; he was the poster boy of this division of a long time as he pulled the strings of that Patriots side. Of course, Brady, who now plays for the Buccs, is the headline grabber but players like Rob Gronkowski and Julian Edelman probably deserve mentions from the Patriots side too. *You can read more about Brady and the Buccs season expectations by visiting our NFC South predictions page.

There are plenty of other big names that have passed through the AFC East over the years but they don’t come much bigger than OJ Simpson – albeit he is now known for the wrong reasons! That said, there was a period when he was ‘the man’ of the NFL. Simpson was a monster on that Bills roster between 1969 and 1977. Other notable names to call out include Jets duo Don Maynard and Darrelle Revis whilst we’ll give Miami their moment in the sun by throwing out the name of Dan Marino and Jason Taylor, who had three spells with the franchise.

Season records

Before we sign off on our AFC East predictions article, we’re just going to put up a list of interesting stat leaders meaning you can stay clued up on some records throughout the season:

  • Most passing yards – Tom Brady, New England Patriots, 5,235 in 2011
  • Most passing touchdowns – Tom Brady, New England Patriots, 50 in 2007
  • Most rushing yards – OJ Simpson, Buffalo Bills, 2,003 in 1973
  • Most rushing touchdowns – LeGarrette Blount, New England Patriots, 18 in 2016
  • Most interceptions – Dainard Paulson, New York Jets, 12 in 1964
  • Most tackles – Jonathan Vilma, New York Jets, 128 in 2005

Interested in more AFC predictions, head on over to our AFC North page.